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Tropical Storm Rafael Public Advisory Number 28
2024-11-10 09:30:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 000 WTNT33 KNHC 100830 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rafael Advisory Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182024 300 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024 ...RAFAEL GRADUALLY WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.1N 91.8W ABOUT 355 MI...575 KM NNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rafael was located near latitude 26.1 North, longitude 91.8 West. Rafael is moving toward the north-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). The storm is expected to meander over the central Gulf of Mexico through tonight, then turn toward the south and south-southwest on Monday and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected through early next week, and Rafael is forecast to degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low by Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rafael can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml SURF: Swells generated by Rafael will continue impacting portions of the northern and western Gulf Coast through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Indirect rainfall associated with the moisture from Rafael is expected to lead to additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with local totals to 15 inches, across portions of southwestern and central Louisiana into this afternoon. This rain could lead to or continue significant flash flooding. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Blake
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Rafael Forecast Advisory Number 28
2024-11-10 09:30:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN NOV 10 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 100830 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024 0900 UTC SUN NOV 10 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 91.8W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 91.8W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 91.8W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.4N 91.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.2N 90.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.4N 90.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 24.3N 91.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 23.5N 92.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 91.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-10 06:46:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 100546 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Rafael, located over the central Gulf of Mexico. Near the Bahamas: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue near a trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the central Bahamas. Some slight development of this system is possible before it moves into unfavorable environmental conditions late today. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are possible as it moves generally westward across the Bahamas through tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Category: Transportation and Logistics
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