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Tropical Storm Raymond Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2019-11-15 21:36:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI NOV 15 2019 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 152035 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 2100 UTC FRI NOV 15 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 22(27) X(27) X(27) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 47 7(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) 15N 110W 50 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 110W 34 1 5( 6) 22(28) 20(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 14(15) 24(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY/MELLO
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