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Tropical Storm Sara Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2024-11-16 15:42:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT NOV 16 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 161442 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM SARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 1500 UTC SAT NOV 16 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SARA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BELIZE CITY 34 13 33(46) 5(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) BELIZE CITY 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUANAJA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Sara Forecast Advisory Number 12
2024-11-16 15:41:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT NOV 16 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 161441 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM SARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 1500 UTC SAT NOV 16 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 86.5W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 86.5W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 86.3W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.4N 86.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.9N 88.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.8N 89.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.2N 90.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 86.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 16/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Storm Sara (AT4/AL192024)
2024-11-16 15:41:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...SARA DRIFTING NEAR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS... ...LIFE-THREATENING AND CATASTROPHIC FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE ONGOING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA... As of 9:00 AM CST Sat Nov 16 the center of Sara was located near 16.3, -86.5 with movement WNW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
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