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Tropical Storm Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 5

2018-09-30 16:57:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018 201 WTPZ21 KNHC 301456 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 1500 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 105.4W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 105.4W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 104.8W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.1N 107.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 11.8N 109.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 11.7N 111.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 12.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.6N 116.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 16.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 17.5N 121.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 105.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/LATTO

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