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Tropical Storm Sergio Public Advisory Number 44
2018-10-10 10:41:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Wed Oct 10 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 100841 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number 44 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 200 AM PDT Wed Oct 10 2018 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EAST AND WEST COASTS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... ...FLOODING RAINS FROM SERGIO EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OF THE UNITED STATES OVER THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 124.9W ABOUT 1020 MI...1640 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch along the west coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro. The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch along the east coast of the Baja California peninsula from Bahia San Juan Bautista to San Evaristo. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Bahia San Juan Bautista to San Evaristo A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the northern and central Baja California peninsula and northwestern Sonora should monitor the progress of Sergio. Additional watches or warnings may be required on Thursday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 124.9 West. Sergio is moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). An east- northeastward to northeastward motion with a further increase in forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Sergio will approach the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur early Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Sunday, heavy rainfall with Sergio is expected to lead to storm total accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with local amounts to 10 inches in northern Baja California Sur and Sonora in Mexico and well as the Southern Plains and the Ozarks of the United States. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 500 AM PDT. Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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