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Tropical Storm Vicente Public Advisory Number 3
2018-10-20 04:36:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 200235 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP232018 1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018 ...VICENTE MEANDERING OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR, GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.7N 92.5W ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM W OF PUERTO SAN JOSE GUATEMALA ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF TAPACHULA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of the depression. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), radar data from Guatemala and satellite imagery indicated that the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 92.5 West. Vicente is moving toward the west-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). An increase in forward speed and a turn toward the west is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the southwest on Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Vicente should gradually move away from the coasts of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico tonight and tomorrow. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is possible during the next few days. Vicente is a small tropical storm, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Wednesday morning, Vicente is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with local amounts to 15 inches across portions of El Salvador and southern Guatemala, with 3 to 6 inches and local amounts to 10 inches near the Pacific coast of southeastern Mexico. This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and landslides within mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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