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Tropical Storm Vicente Public Advisory Number 5
2018-10-20 16:44:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 20 2018 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 201444 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP232018 1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 20 2018 ...SMALL-SIZED VICENTE FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.3N 93.6W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WSW OF TAPACHULA MEXICO ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM SE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southeastern and southern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Vicente. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 93.6 West. Vicente is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general track with a slight increase in forward speed is forecast during the next 36 to 48 hours. After that time, a turn to the northwest is anticipated. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Thursday morning, Vicente is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches across southwest Guatemala and the Pacific coast of southern Mexico. This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and landslides within mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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