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Tropical Storm Vicente Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2018-10-19 22:36:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 19 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 192036 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018 2100 UTC FRI OCT 19 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 4(17) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 5(21) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 3(19) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 15N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 27(29) 12(41) 1(42) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 6(12) 1(13) X(13) HUATULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 10N 95W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 95W 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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