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TIFFANY & CO - 10-Q - Management's Discussion and Analysis of...
2013-11-27 19:32:51| Jewelry - Topix.net
OVERVIEW Tiffany & Co. is a holding company that operates through its subsidiary companies .
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Air Products & Chemicals Inc /de/ - 10-K - Management's Discussion...
2013-11-27 06:03:26| Chemicals - Topix.net
Business Overview 19 2013 in Summary 19 2014 Outlook 20 Results of Operations 21 Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures 29 Liquidity and Capital Resources 31 Contractual Obligations 34 Pension Benefits 36 Environmental Matters 37 Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements 38 Related Party Transactions 38 Inflation 38 Critical Accounting Policies and ... (more)
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Tropical Storm MELISSA Forecast Discussion Number 13
2013-11-21 15:49:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST THU NOV 21 2013 000 WTNT44 KNHC 211449 TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM MELISSA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 1100 AM AST THU NOV 21 2013 MELISSA REMAINS A TROPICAL CYCLONE THIS MORNING...AS SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A BROKEN BAND OF CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION. THERE IS EVIDENCE THAT SOME COLD AIR HAS WRAPPED AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION... BUT THERE IS NO INDICATION THAT IT HAS PENETRATED THE INNER CORE. MELISSA WILL BE MOVING OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 17-18 DEGREES CELSIUS LATER TODAY AND THE DRIER AND COOLER AIR MASS WEST OF THE CYCLONE SHOULD WRAP FURTHER AROUND THE CIRCULATION...CAUSING MELISSA TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY. THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO CHANGE LITTLE IN STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC IN ABOUT THREE DAYS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS EAST-NORTHEAST AT 28 KT. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO MOVE QUICKLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TO EASTWARD WITHIN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER THAT TIME...THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN SOUTHEASTWARD IN WEAKER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AROUND THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF A BUILDING MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC. THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO AND LITTLE CHANGE WAS REQUIRED FROM THE PREVIOUS NHC ADVISORY. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL AZORES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/1500Z 40.0N 34.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 22/0000Z 41.1N 30.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 22/1200Z 42.0N 24.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 23/0000Z 42.2N 20.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 23/1200Z 41.2N 17.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Storm MELISSA Forecast Discussion Number 12
2013-11-21 09:37:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST THU NOV 21 2013 000 WTNT44 KNHC 210837 TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM MELISSA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 500 AM AST THU NOV 21 2013 EVEN THOUGH MELISSA IS CURRENTLY OVER QUITE COOL 21 C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...THE STORM IS STILL PRODUCING DEEP CONVECTION AND IS HOLDING ON TO TROPICAL CYCLONE STATUS. THE MAIN REASONS THE STORM IS ABLE TO REMAIN TROPICAL OVER THE COOL WATER IS BECAUSE OF THE COMBINED FACTORS OF A COLD AIRMASS ALOFT AND FAIRLY LOW WIND SHEAR. THE CLOUD PATTERN STILL CONSISTS OF FRAGMENTED CURVED BANDS MAINLY CONFINED TO THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION...AND THE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS STILL SUPPORT AN INTENSITY OF 45 KT. MOST OF THE MODELS SHOW MELISSA CHANGING LITTLE IN STRENGTH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE LOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WHILE IT MOVES OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES LOWER THAN 20 C. AFTER THE CYCLONE BECOMES POST-TROPICAL...A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS PREDICTED WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED IN 3 TO 4 DAYS. MELISSA CONTINUES TO RACE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 28 KT EMBEDDED IN THE STRONG MID-LATITUDE FLOW TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE EAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE NHC FORECAST IS AGAIN ADJUSTED SOUTHWARD...FOLLOWING THE LATEST TREND IN THE GUIDANCE. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL AZORES LATE TODAY OR TONIGHT AFTER MELISSA LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0900Z 39.1N 38.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 21/1800Z 40.2N 33.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 22/0600Z 41.5N 27.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 22/1800Z 42.2N 22.8W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 23/0600Z 42.2N 19.8W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 24/0600Z 40.0N 16.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm MELISSA Forecast Discussion Number 11
2013-11-21 03:31:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST WED NOV 20 2013 000 WTNT44 KNHC 210231 TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM MELISSA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 1100 PM AST WED NOV 20 2013 A SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION IS PERSISTING NEAR THE CENTER OF MELISSA... THOUGH THE CONVECTION IS A BIT WEAKER THAN EARLIER TODAY. THE LATEST SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES SUPPORT KEEPING THE WINDS AT 45 KT ON THIS ADVISORY. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE DOES NOT SHOW ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE STRENGTH OF MELISSA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...DESPITE THE STORM MOVING OVER RATHER COLD WATERS. THIS APPEARS TO BE DUE TO THE MITIGATING FACTORS OF A DIVERGENT AND COLD UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ALONG WITH LOW SHEAR. NONETHELESS... IT IS HARD TO SEE MELISSA REMAINING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THIS TIME TOMORROW WHILE IT MOVES ACROSS SUB-18C WATERS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED IN 36H OR SO AS MELISSA ENCOUNTERS A MORE BAROCLINIC ENVIRONMENT AND A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SHEAR. THE LATEST NHC FORECAST IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE AND REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS. MELISSA IS ZIPPING ALONG TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 26 KT. THE GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY SHOW THE TRACK SHIFTING TO THE EAST AND EAST-SOUTHEAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE STORM MOVES SOUTH OF A CUTOFF LOW IN THE FAR NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN. GUIDANCE IS TRENDING SOUTHWARD...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SHIFTED IN THAT DIRECTION. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL AZORES LATE TOMORROW AFTER MELISSA LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0300Z 38.1N 42.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 21/1200Z 39.6N 37.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 22/0000Z 41.2N 31.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 22/1200Z 42.4N 25.6W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 23/0000Z 42.8N 21.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 24/0000Z 41.0N 16.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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