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Post-Tropical Cyclone Eleven-E Graphics
2017-08-05 22:42:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 05 Aug 2017 20:42:50 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 05 Aug 2017 21:23:47 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Eleven-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2017-08-05 22:38:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 05 2017 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 052038 PWSEP1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112017 2100 UTC SAT AUG 05 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Eleven-E (EP1/EP112017)
2017-08-05 22:37:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 3:00 PM MDT Sat Aug 5 the center of Eleven-E was located near 20.3, -111.7 with movement NNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Eleven-E Public Advisory Number 6
2017-08-05 22:37:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Sat Aug 05 2017 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 052037 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Eleven-E Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112017 300 PM MDT Sat Aug 05 2017 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.3N 111.7W ABOUT 115 MI...180 KM NNW OF SOCORRO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Eleven-E was located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 111.7 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). The cyclone is forecast to continue on a north-northwest or northwest heading with a decrease in forward speed until dissipation occurs tomorrow. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected to continue through the weekend. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Eleven-E Forecast Advisory Number 6
2017-08-05 22:37:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 05 2017 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 052037 TCMEP1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112017 2100 UTC SAT AUG 05 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 111.7W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 111.7W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.9N 112.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.2N 112.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 111.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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