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Post-Tropical Cyclone Emily Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2017-08-02 04:31:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED AUG 02 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 020231 PWSAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062017 0300 UTC WED AUG 02 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Post-Tropical Cyclone Emily Forecast Advisory Number 9
2017-08-02 04:30:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED AUG 02 2017 000 WTNT21 KNHC 020230 TCMAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062017 0300 UTC WED AUG 02 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 78.0W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 78.0W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 78.1W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 32.3N 76.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.9N 73.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.0N 70.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 36.0N 67.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 78.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin Graphics
2017-08-01 22:42:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Aug 2017 20:42:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Aug 2017 21:30:18 GMT
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irwin
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posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin Forecast Discussion Number 42
2017-08-01 22:38:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Aug 01 2017 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 012038 TCDEP5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin Discussion Number 42 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102017 200 PM PDT Tue Aug 01 2017 Irwin consists of a tight swirl of low clouds devoid of deep convection. On this basis, the system has been declared a remnant low in this advisory. Data from a recent ASCAT indicate that wind are still 30 kt to the north and east of the center. The low is forecast to move toward the northwest about 7 kt toward cooler waters until dissipation is a day or so. This will be the last advisory issued by NHC on this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/2100Z 26.6N 129.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 02/0600Z 27.5N 130.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 02/1800Z 28.5N 131.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 03/0600Z 29.0N 132.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 42
2017-08-01 22:38:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 01 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 012038 PWSEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017 2100 UTC TUE AUG 01 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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