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Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Forecast Advisory Number 8

2020-07-11 10:32:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020 000 WTNT21 KNHC 110831 TCMAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062020 0900 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.4N 73.9W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 180SE 0SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.4N 73.9W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.5N 74.2W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 45.3N 72.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 49.0N 70.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 52.5N 67.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.4N 73.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Summary for Tropical Depression Fay (AT1/AL062020)

2020-07-11 07:32:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...FAY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK... As of 2:00 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 the center of Fay was located near 41.5, -74.0 with movement N at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Fay Public Advisory Number 7A

2020-07-11 07:32:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020 121 WTNT31 KNHC 110532 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fay Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062020 200 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020 ...FAY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.5N 74.0W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM N OF NEW YORK CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from East Rockaway New York to Watch Hill Rhode Island including most of Long Island and Long Island Sound has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fay was located near latitude 41.5 North, longitude 74.0 West. Fay is moving toward the north near 17 mph (28 km/h). A northward to north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected today and tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Fay will move across portions of eastern New York this morning, then across western New England into southeastern Canada later today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected today, and the system is expected to become a post-tropical low later this morning and dissipate on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure from surface observations is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Fay is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maxima of 4 inches along and near its track from eastern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey across southeast New York, and portions of New England. This rain may result in flash flooding and urban flooding in areas with poor drainage where the heaviest amounts occur. Widespread river flooding is not expected at this time; however, rapid rises on small streams and isolated minor flooding is possible. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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