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Tropical Storm ANDREA Graphics
2013-06-06 00:01:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 05 Jun 2013 21:55:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 05 Jun 2013 21:57:44 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm ANDREA (AT1/AL012013)
2013-06-05 23:59:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST... As of 6:00 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 the center of ANDREA was located near 25.3, -86.5 with movement N at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm ANDREA Public Advisory Number 1
2013-06-05 23:59:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 600 PM EDT WED JUN 05 2013 000 WTNT31 KNHC 052159 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANDREA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 600 PM EDT WED JUN 05 2013 ...TROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST... SUMMARY OF 600 PM EDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.3N 86.5W ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO OCHLOCKNEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 600 PM EDT...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST. ANDREA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON THURDAY AND THAT GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. THE CENTER OF ANDREA IS FORECAST TO REACH THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING...AND MOVE OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES... 220 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD TO APALACHICOLA...2 TO 4 FT FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY...1 TO 2 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...EASTERN PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/BRENNAN
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Tropical Storm ANDREA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2013-06-05 23:55:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2200 UTC WED JUN 05 2013 000 FONT11 KNHC 052154 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANDREA SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 2200 UTC WED JUN 05 2013 AT 2200Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 1 3 7 11 21 21 24 TROP DEPRESSION 31 24 27 29 28 23 26 TROPICAL STORM 67 69 61 54 46 50 45 HURRICANE 1 4 5 6 5 6 5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 1 4 5 5 5 5 4 HUR CAT 2 X X 1 1 X 1 1 HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35KT 40KT 40KT 40KT 40KT 40KT 40KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) X(19) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) X(15) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 6(17) X(17) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 1(16) X(16) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 1(19) X(19) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) X(19) X(19) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) X(21) X(21) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) X(16) X(16) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 20(30) X(30) X(30) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 12(32) X(32) X(32) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 7(31) X(31) X(31) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 3(31) X(31) X(31) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 15(15) 16(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MAYPORT NS 34 X 2( 2) 34(36) 8(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) MAYPORT NS 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 3( 3) 35(38) 6(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 4( 4) 25(29) 3(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 X 5( 5) 19(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) PATRICK AFB 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) W PALM BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MIAMI FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KEY WEST FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MARCO ISLAND 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FT MYERS FL 34 1 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) VENICE FL 34 1 15(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) TAMPA FL 34 1 17(18) 18(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 16(17) 33(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 1 5( 6) 13(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 1 7( 8) 17(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) APALACHICOLA 34 1 13(14) 9(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) APALACHICOLA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 290N 850W 34 2 25(27) 8(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 1 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) COLUMBUS GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 1 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/BRENNAN
Tropical Storm ANDREA Forecast Advisory Number 1
2013-06-05 23:54:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2200 UTC WED JUN 05 2013 000 WTNT21 KNHC 052154 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANDREA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 2200 UTC WED JUN 05 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO OCHLOCKNEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 86.5W AT 05/2200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 86.5W AT 05/2200Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 86.6W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.5N 86.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 28.3N 85.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 31.0N 82.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 34.5N 78.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 43.0N 67.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 45.0N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 47.0N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 86.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/BRENNAN
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