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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-12 19:58:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121758 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 12 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Recent satellite and microwave imagery indicate that the area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become better-defined while associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization. Therefore, this system will likely become a tropical depression later today or tonight as it moves slowly westward. Early next week, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms remain poorly organized in association with a weak area of low pressure located about a hundred miles south-southwest of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear to be somewhat conducive for further development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression could still form during that time. By early next week, the system is forecast to interact with land and a larger disturbance developing to its north, and further development is not anticipated. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico through early next week. See products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
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pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-12 16:58:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121458 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM PDT Sat Jun 12 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion of the low pressure system 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Morning satellite imagery indicates that the broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to become better organized. If this trend continues, advisories for a tropical depression could be initiated later today or tonight as the system moves slowly westward. Early next week, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Showers and thunderstorms remain poorly organized this morning in association with a broad area of low pressure located about a hundred miles south of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for some additional development, and a tropical depression could still form over the weekend, as long as the system remains over water while drifting northeastward. Heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico through early next week. See products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-12 13:42:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121142 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Jun 12 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms remain poorly organized this morning in association with a broad area of low pressure located about a hundred miles south of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for some additional development, and a tropical depression could still form over the weekend, as long as the system remains over water while drifting northeastward. Heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico through early next week. See products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized this morning in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some additional development over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the system moves slowly westward. Thereafter, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-12 07:03:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 120503 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Jun 11 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are poorly organized this evening in association with a broad area of low pressure located about a hundred miles south of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for some additional development, and a tropical depression could still form over the weekend, as long as the system remains over water while drifting northeastward. Heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico through early next week. See products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization this evening in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some additional development over the next few days, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-12 01:40:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112340 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Jun 11 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization today in association with a broad area of low pressure located about a hundred miles south of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could still form by this weekend, as long as the system remains over water while drifting north-northeastward. Heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico through early next week. See products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization this afternoon in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some additional development over the next few days, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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