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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-15 19:24:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151724 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 15 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing a small area of showers. This system has moved over colder waters and further development is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A large area of persistent showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The disturbance does not appear to have developed a well-defined center yet, but conditions are expected to be favorable for further development today and tomorrow, and tropical depression is likely to form during that time. This system is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward or northward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A low pressure system located several hundred miles southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to show signs of development. A broad and elongated closed low pressure system has formed, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to organize into bands. Although recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the system does not yet have a well-defined center, environment conditions appear conducive for further development. A tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form tonight or on Sunday while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-15 13:12:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151112 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Aug 15 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing a small area of showers. This system has moved over colder waters and further development is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Concentrated shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system has slowly become better organized since yesterday and environmental conditions appear favorable for further development today and tomorrow. A tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves slowly north-northwestward or northward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are beginning to show signs of organization. Conditions appear conducive for further development and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form later this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-15 07:35:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 150535 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure located about 150 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better defined since yesterday. However, the associated shower activity remains limited. While some additional development of this system is possible, the low is forecast to move over cooler waters on Saturday and the chance of this system becoming a tropical depression appears to be decreasing. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Another area of disturbed weather associated with a broad area of low pressure is located about 700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the development of this system, and it is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves slowly north-northwestward or northward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low pressure system to develop from this trough over the next day or so, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-15 01:17:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 142317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Satellite data indicate that the circulation associated with an area of low pressure located about 175 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better defined since yesterday. However, the associated shower activity remains limited. While some additional development of this system is possible, the low is forecast to reach cooler waters on Saturday and the chance of this system becoming a tropical depression appears to be decreasing. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure is located about 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for the development of this system and it is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves slowly north-northwestward or northward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low pressure system to develop from this trough over the next day or so, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-14 19:41:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141740 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is located about 200 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have decreased since last night. However, environmental conditions are still expected to be favorable for another day or so and a tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The disturbance is forecast to move over colder waters over the weekend and further development is unlikely after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure is located nearly 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for the development of this system and it will likely become a tropical depression while it moves slowly northward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low pressure system to develop from this trough over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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