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Tropical Storm Bill Public Advisory Number 3
2021-06-15 04:37:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Jun 14 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 150237 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Bill Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022021 1100 PM AST Mon Jun 14 2021 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM BILL... ...LIKELY TO BE SHORT-LIVED... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.7N 69.8W ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bill was located near latitude 36.7 North, longitude 69.8 West. Bill is moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion is expected through Wednesday with increasing forward speed. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible on Tuesday, however the system is expected to become a post-tropical low and dissipate on Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Bill Forecast Advisory Number 3
2021-06-15 04:37:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 150237 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022021 0300 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 69.8W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 69.8W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N 70.8W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.9N 65.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 42.6N 59.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 46.5N 54.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.7N 69.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Depression Carlos Public Advisory Number 10
2021-06-15 04:34:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Mon Jun 14 2021 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 150234 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Carlos Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032021 800 PM PDT Mon Jun 14 2021 ...CARLOS BARELY HOLDS ON AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.5N 130.8W ABOUT 1620 MI...2610 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlos was located near latitude 10.5 North, longitude 130.8 West. The depression is moving toward the west-southwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday, followed by a westward turn through midweek. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is expected over the next couple of days, and Carlos is forecast to degenerate to a remnant low by Tuesday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch
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Tropical Depression Carlos Forecast Advisory Number 10
2021-06-15 04:33:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 150233 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032021 0300 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 130.8W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 130.8W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 130.4W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 10.1N 132.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 9.8N 133.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 9.7N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 9.7N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 9.8N 137.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 10.0N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 130.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH
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Tropical Depression Carlos Public Advisory Number 9
2021-06-14 22:41:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Mon Jun 14 2021 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 142041 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Carlos Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032021 200 PM PDT Mon Jun 14 2021 ...CARLOS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.9N 130.0W ABOUT 1560 MI...2515 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlos was located near latitude 10.9 North, longitude 130.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west-southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so followed by a turn to the west. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast over the next couple of days, and Carlos is expected to degenerate to a remnant low by midweek. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
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