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Tropical Storm Polo Public Advisory Number 7

2020-11-19 09:45:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 100 AM PST Thu Nov 19 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 190845 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Polo Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212020 100 AM PST Thu Nov 19 2020 ...POLO WEAKENS WHILE MOVING WESTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 100 AM PST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 119.3W ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM PST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Polo was located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 119.3 West. Polo is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is anticipated, and Polo is forecast to become a remnant low pressure system later today, and dissipate by Friday night or Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 700 AM PST. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Tropical Storm Polo Forecast Advisory Number 7

2020-11-19 09:43:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU NOV 19 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 190843 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212020 0900 UTC THU NOV 19 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 119.3W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 119.3W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 118.8W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.1N 120.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.1N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.0N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.6N 128.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 119.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm Polo Public Advisory Number 6

2020-11-19 03:34:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 700 PM PST Wed Nov 18 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 190234 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Polo Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212020 700 PM PST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...POLO MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATER TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 700 PM PST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 118.3W ABOUT 685 MI...1100 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM PST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Polo was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 118.3 West. Polo is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected later tonight or on Thursday, with this motion continuing through Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected to begin later tonight or on Thursday, and Polo is expected to decay to a remnant low pressure area on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 100 AM PST. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Storm Polo Forecast Advisory Number 6

2020-11-19 03:33:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU NOV 19 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 190233 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212020 0300 UTC THU NOV 19 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 118.3W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 118.3W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 117.8W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.2N 119.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.3N 122.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.3N 124.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.3N 126.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 118.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Storm Polo Public Advisory Number 5

2020-11-18 21:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 100 PM PST Wed Nov 18 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 182031 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Polo Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212020 100 PM PST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM POLO CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM PST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 117.2W ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM PST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Polo was located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 117.2 West. Polo is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general motion is expected today, followed by a turn toward the west by Thursday and a westward motion through Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today, with gradual weakening anticipated to begin on Thursday. Polo should degenerate into a remnant low pressure area on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 700 PM PST. $$ Forecaster Blake

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