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Hurricane Leslie Public Advisory Number 68
2018-10-13 10:38:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018 000 WTNT33 KNHC 130837 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 68 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 500 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018 ...LESLIE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA... ...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.2N 16.7W ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM E OF THE AZORES ABOUT 680 MI...1090 KM E OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 38 MPH...61 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Madeira Island Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 36.2 North, longitude 16.7 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 38 mph (61 km/h). A motion toward the east-northeast with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north of Madeira Island this morning, approach the southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland over portions of Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force post-tropical cyclone later today or tonight. Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula tonight, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Sunday night or Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island this morning. Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to portions of Portugal late today or tonight, and gale-force winds to portions of western Spain late today through early Sunday. Please see products from your local meteorological service for more information on this hazard. RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches (125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco today, continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 68
2018-10-13 10:37:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 13 2018 000 WTNT23 KNHC 130836 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 68 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 0900 UTC SAT OCT 13 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MADEIRA ISLAND INTERESTS IN THE PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESLIE. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS FROM THE PORTUGUESE INSTITUTE FOR SEA AND ATMOSPHERE AT WWW.IPMA.PT. INTERESTS IN SPAIN SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS FROM THE STATE METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY AT WWW.AEMET.ES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 16.7W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 33 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT.......140NE 180SE 180SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 540SW 600NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 16.7W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 18.3W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.7N 11.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 90SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 150SE 160SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 39.6N 6.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 41.3N 2.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N 16.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Hurricane Leslie Graphics
2018-10-13 07:45:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 13 Oct 2018 05:45:56 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 13 Oct 2018 05:45:56 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Leslie (AT3/AL132018)
2018-10-13 07:43:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LESLIE MOVING RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA... ...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... As of 2:00 AM AST Sat Oct 13 the center of Leslie was located near 35.5, -18.5 with movement ENE at 36 mph. The minimum central pressure was 976 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
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Hurricane Leslie Public Advisory Number 67A
2018-10-13 07:43:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018 000 WTNT33 KNHC 130543 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 67A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 200 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018 ...LESLIE MOVING RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA... ...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.5N 18.5W ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NNW OF MADEIRA ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Madeira Island Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 18.5 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h). A fast motion toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north of Madeira Island this morning, approach the southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland over portions of Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force post-tropical cyclone later today. Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula tonight, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). Madeira Island recently reported a wind gust of 39 mph (63 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island this morning. Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to portions of Portugal late today, and gale-force winds to portions of western Spain late today through early Sunday. Please see products from your local meteorological service for more information on this hazard. RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts on the order of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4 inches (100 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco today, continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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