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Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 11
2020-06-04 10:43:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUN 04 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 040843 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 0900 UTC THU JUN 04 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAMPECHE TO COATZACOALCOS MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. INTERESTS THERE AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 91.3W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 91.3W AT 04/0900Z...INLAND AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 91.5W...INLAND FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.0N 91.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.7N 90.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.2N 90.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N 90.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.9N 90.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.8N 90.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 29.5N 91.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 34.0N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 91.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 04/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Cristobal Graphics
2020-06-04 07:56:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 04 Jun 2020 05:56:52 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 04 Jun 2020 03:24:51 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Cristobal (AT3/AL032020)
2020-06-04 07:56:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CENTER OF CRISTOBAL MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... As of 1:00 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 the center of Cristobal was located near 18.0, -91.5 with movement . The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Cristobal Public Advisory Number 10A
2020-06-04 07:56:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 040556 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020 100 AM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020 ...CENTER OF CRISTOBAL MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 91.5W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSE OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OT 135 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Campeche to Coatzacoalcos Mexico For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 91.5 West. Cristobal has resumed a southeastward motion at about 3 mph (6 km/h), and this motion should continue this morning. A turn toward the north-northeast and north is expected later today, and a general northward motion should continue through Saturday. On the forecast track, the center will move over the land mass of eastern Mexico through today. The center is forecast to move back over the southern Gulf of Mexico on Friday, and over the central Gulf of Mexico on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are now near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening will occur while the cyclone moves over land, and Cristobal will likely become a tropical depression later today. Some re-strengthening is expected to begin on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center, primarily over water. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Saturday: Mexican states of Campeche, Quintana Roo, Tabasco, and Yucatan...6 to 12 inches, isolated storm totals of 25 inches. Mexican states of Veracruz and Oaxaca...5 to 10 inches. Southern Guatemala and parts of Chiapas...Additional 15 to 20 inches, isolated storm total amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th. El Salvador...Additional 10 to 15 inches, isolated storm total amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th. Belize and Honduras...3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches. Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are affecting the coast within portions of the warning area. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Cristobal Graphics
2020-06-04 04:40:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 04 Jun 2020 02:40:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 04 Jun 2020 02:40:24 GMT
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