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Tropical Storm Enrique Public Advisory Number 19
2021-06-29 22:45:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 292045 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Enrique Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 300 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021 ...ENRIQUE STILL BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.2N 108.3W ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM ENE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was located near latitude 23.2 North, longitude 108.3 West. Enrique is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Enrique is expected to move near or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula late tonight and Wednesday. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Enrique is forecast to dissipate on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center, mainly in the eastern semicircle. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Enrique is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts of 6 inches across Sinola, western Durango and southern Chihuahua in western Mexico and 1 to 2 inches with maximum amounts of 4 inches across the southern portions of Baja California Sur. These rainfall totals may trigger flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico, as well as portions of the Gulf of California and the coast of the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast Advisory Number 19
2021-06-29 22:44:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 29 2021 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 292044 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052021 2100 UTC TUE JUN 29 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR CABO SAN LUCAS TO LOS BARRILES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 108.3W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 108.3W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.9N 109.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.6N 110.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 25.4N 111.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 26.0N 112.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 108.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BEVEN
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Summary for Tropical Storm Enrique (EP5/EP052021)
2021-06-29 19:48:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...POORLY-ORGANIZED ENRIQUE BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... As of 12:00 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 the center of Enrique was located near 22.9, -108.0 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Enrique Public Advisory Number 18A
2021-06-29 19:48:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 291748 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 18A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 1200 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021 ...POORLY-ORGANIZED ENRIQUE BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 108.0W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM E OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 108.0 West. Enrique is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Enrique is expected to move near or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula tonight or Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Enrique is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center, mainly in the eastern semicircle. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area over southern portions of the Baja California Peninsula beginning tonight. RAINFALL: Enrique is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches across Sinola, western Durango and southern Chihuahua in western Mexico. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches are possible across the southern portions of Baja California Sur. Combined with the rain that had already fallen, these additional amounts may trigger new flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico, as well as portions of the Gulf of California and the coast of the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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Tropical Storm Enrique Graphics
2021-06-29 19:48:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 29 Jun 2021 17:48:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 29 Jun 2021 15:22:35 GMT
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