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Summary for Tropical Storm Fausto (EP1/EP112020)
2020-08-16 22:30:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...FAUSTO EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING SOON... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun Aug 16 the center of Fausto was located near 21.5, -121.0 with movement NW at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Fausto Public Advisory Number 4
2020-08-16 22:30:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 162030 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112020 200 PM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 ...FAUSTO EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING SOON... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.5N 121.0W ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 121.0 West. Fausto is moving toward the northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h), and this motion is expected continue through tonight. A turn to the west, with a decrease in forward speed is forecast to occur later on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast to begin tonight, and Fausto is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by Monday morning, and degenerate into a remnant low Monday night Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Storm Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-08-16 22:30:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 162030 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112020 2100 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 121.0W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 121.0W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 120.5W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.2N 123.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 24.1N 126.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 24.3N 128.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.9N 130.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.2N 132.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 121.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Tropical Storm Fausto Graphics
2020-08-16 16:49:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 14:49:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 14:49:19 GMT
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Tropical Storm Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 3
2020-08-16 16:45:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 708 WTPZ41 KNHC 161444 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Fausto Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112020 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 Deep convection with cloud tops at around -70 C has persisted over the center of the cyclone for the past several hours. All available Dvorak T-numbers have been on the increase, and an initial intensity of 35 kt is supported by the latest Dvorak estimates from both SAB and TAFB. This makes the cyclone the sixth tropical storm of the 2020 Eastern Pacific hurricane season. Fausto is crossing the 26 C SST isotherm and is expected to reach waters cooler than 24 C by Monday morning. Therefore it is likely that we are witnessing Fausto's peak intensity now. With the cooler waters, the convection should gradually decrease and the cyclone is expected to become a remnant low in about 2 days. The intensity forecast is similar to the previous one, and is in good agreement with the intensity consensus aids. Fausto has increased its forward speed a bit and is now moving northwestward at around 13 kt. A slightly faster forward speed and a gradual turn to the west-northwest is expected through tonight along the southwestern periphery of a mid-level ridge. As the cyclone loses its convection, it should turn westward or just south of westward as it becomes steered by the low-level flow. The official forecast lies in the middle of tightly clustered guidance and is little changed from the previous one. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/1500Z 20.7N 119.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 17/0000Z 22.3N 121.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 17/1200Z 23.6N 124.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 18/0000Z 24.1N 127.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 18/1200Z 24.0N 129.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 19/0000Z 23.6N 131.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 19/1200Z 22.9N 133.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
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