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Summary for Tropical Storm Kyle (AT2/AL122020)
2020-08-15 22:34:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...KYLE EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL SOON... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Aug 15 the center of Kyle was located near 39.4, -63.2 with movement ENE at 22 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Kyle Graphics
2020-08-15 16:43:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 15 Aug 2020 14:43:21 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 15 Aug 2020 14:43:22 GMT
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Tropical Storm Kyle Forecast Discussion Number 4
2020-08-15 16:42:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sat Aug 15 2020 000 WTNT42 KNHC 151442 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Kyle Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122020 1100 AM AST Sat Aug 15 2020 The exposed center of Kyle has become elongated this morning. Deep convection remains limited to the eastern semicircle of the cyclone, a consequence of strong upper-level westerly winds. Despite the shear, there are indications that Kyle's winds have increased. A ship (KABP) recently reported 50 kt winds just to the south of Kyle's center. Although the observation was elevated, it still supports increasing the intensity to 45 kt. Kyle will continue to move quickly east-northeastward away from the coast of the U.S. and well south of the Canadian Maritimes today. The tropical storm is being steered by a mid- to upper-level trough and will likely continue on its general heading and speed for the day or so, followed by a turn toward due east by early Monday. The tropical storm has remained over the Gulf Stream thus far, which is likely helping it to maintain its tropical structure in the face of an otherwise hostile upper-air environment. Some additional strengthening is possible today or early Sunday before Kyle becomes post-tropical. The exact timing of that transition is still somewhat uncertain, but it is clear that Kyle will become an extratropical cyclone by early next week. After becoming post-tropical, gradual weakening is anticipated until the system becomes poorly-defined and is absorbed by a larger extratropical low by the middle of the week, if not sooner. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/1500Z 39.0N 65.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 16/0000Z 39.8N 62.4W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 16/1200Z 40.8N 58.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 17/0000Z 41.7N 54.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 17/1200Z 42.2N 49.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 18/0000Z 42.5N 42.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 18/1200Z...ABSORBED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Summary for Tropical Storm Kyle (AT2/AL122020)
2020-08-15 16:41:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL STORM KYLE HEADING OUT TO SEA... As of 11:00 AM AST Sat Aug 15 the center of Kyle was located near 39.0, -65.6 with movement ENE at 21 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Kyle Public Advisory Number 4
2020-08-15 16:41:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sat Aug 15 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 151441 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kyle Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122020 1100 AM AST Sat Aug 15 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM KYLE HEADING OUT TO SEA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.0N 65.6W ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM ESE OF PROVIDENCE RHODE ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kyle was located near latitude 39.0 North, longitude 65.6 West. Kyle is moving toward the east-northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h) and this general motion is forecast to continue today. A turn toward the east is expected by early Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight additional strengthening is possible today before Kyle becomes post-tropical later this weekend. Gradual weakening is then expected through early next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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