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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-19 19:46:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 191746 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Peter, located several hundred miles east of the northernmost Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Depression Seventeen, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands. A tropical wave located along the west coast of Africa is forecast to emerge offshore this evening. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form late this week as it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A gale force non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located a few hundred miles south of Newfoundland. This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics by the middle of this week as it moves slowly eastward and then southeastward over warmer waters across the north-central Atlantic Ocean. Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Peter are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Peter are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seventeen are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seventeen are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Hagen/Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-19 13:18:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 191118 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Peter, located several hundred miles east of the northernmost Leeward Islands, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Seventeen, located a few hundred miles southwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands. A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa later today or tonight. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development thereafter as the system moves generally westward at about 10 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Peter are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Peter are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seventeen are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seventeen are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-19 07:26:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 190526 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Sixteen, located a several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Island. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the small low pressure system located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better defined. Associated thunderstorm activity has also become more concentrated near the center, and environmental conditions are conducive for a tropical depression to form later this morning while the low moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Sixteen are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Sixteen are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-19 01:25:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 182325 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 18 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette, located a few hundred miles east-southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 600 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands continue to show signs of organization. In addition, satellite images and surface observations indicate that the circulation is gradually becoming better defined. If the current trend continues, advisories would likely be initiated on a tropical depression or tropical storm later tonight or early Sunday. This system is expected to be near the northern Leeward Islands on Monday and Tuesday, and interests there should monitor its progress. Upper-level winds are likely to become less conducive for development when the system reaches the southwestern Atlantic by the early to middle part of next week. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms are also showing signs of organization in association with a low pressure system located over the far eastern Atlantic a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while moving toward the northwest at 10 to 15 mph to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system is expected to reach cooler waters and an area of stronger upper-level winds early next week, which should limit its development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-18 19:32:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 181731 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 18 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Odette, located a few hundred miles southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 650 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands continue to show signs of organization. However, satellite-derived wind data from a few hours ago indicated that the system does not yet have a well-defined surface circulation. Only a slight increase in organization of this system would lead to the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm, which is expected to occur later today or tonight while the low moves toward the west-northwest at about 15 mph. This system is expected to be near the northern Leeward Islands on Monday and Tuesday, and interests there should monitor its progress. Upper-level winds are likely to become less conducive for development when the system reaches the southwestern Atlantic by the early to middle part of next week. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A low pressure system located over the far eastern Atlantic a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression could form over the next couple of days while moving toward the northwest at 10 to 15 mph to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system is expected to reach cooler waters and an area of stronger upper-level winds early next week, which could limit its development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odette are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Odette are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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