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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-04 01:02:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 032302 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Jul 3 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of disturbed weather located a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda has changed little today. However, environmental conditions are gradually forecast to become more conducive for the development of a low pressure system by late this week when the disturbance is expected to be south or southwest of Bermuda. The system is forecast to move generally northward over the weekend and begin interacting with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A vigorous tropical wave is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over the next few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. By the weekend, however, conditions are expected to become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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atlantic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-03 19:31:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 031731 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Tue Jul 3 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of disturbed weather has formed a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. Upper-level winds could become somewhat conducive for development by late this week when the disturbance is forecast to be southwest of Bermuda. The system is forecast to move generally northward over the weekened and begin interacting with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-03 13:48:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 031148 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Jul 3 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms along portions of the northern Gulf Coast. Although this disturbance is moving inland over southeastern Louisiana and development is not expected, locally heavy rainfall is possible over southern Louisiana and southeastern Texas during the next couple of days. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system associated with an upper-level trough is expected to form southwest of Bermuda in a couple of days. The system could gradually acquire tropical characteristics later this week while it moves northwestward to northward. The disturbance is expected to interact with a front on Sunday and development is unlikely after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-03 07:16:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 030516 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Jul 3 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the north-central Gulf of Mexico northward are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. This disturbance is gradually moving inland over southeastern Louisiana and development is not anticipated. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form about midway between Bermuda and the southeastern United States by the end of the week. That system could gradually acquire some tropical characteristics over the weekend while it moves slowly northward and then northeastward away from the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-03 01:43:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 022343 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Jul 2 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the north-central Gulf of Mexico across the western Florida panhandle is associated with a broad and weak area of low pressure. Interaction with land, along with proximity to dry air in the mid-levels of the atmosphere, should prevent tropical cyclone formation while the disturbance moves westward and inland over southeastern Louisiana tonight through Tuesday. However, locally heavy rainfall along portions of the northern Gulf Coast will be possible during the next couple of days. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A westward-moving, broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of Florida is producing minimal shower activity. Little or no development of this low is expected for the next few days due to unfavorable upper-level winds and dry mid-level air. However, another non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form about midway between Bermuda and the southeastern United States by the end of the week. That system could gradually acquire some tropical characteristics over the weekend while it moves slowly northward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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