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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-05 01:47:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 042347 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Jul 4 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles to the south and southwest of Bermuda are associated with a weak trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could form before the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward and then northward between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States. The disturbance is then forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure and a tropical wave located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to become better organized. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. By the weekend, however, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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atlantic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-04 22:54:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 042054 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 455 PM EDT Wed Jul 4 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion of the low pressure area west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located within a few hundred miles to the south of Bermuda are associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could form before the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward and then northward between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States. The system is then forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure and a tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better organized during the past few hours. Some additional development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. By the weekend, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-04 19:29:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 041728 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Jul 4 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located within a few hundred miles to the south of Bermuda are associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could form before the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward and then northward between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States. The system is then forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Shower activity has changed little in organization near a small area of low pressure and tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. In addition, recent satellite-derived wind data and visible satellite images suggest that the system may not have a closed surface wind circulation. Some development of this system is possible during the next day or two while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. Upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development by this weekend when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-04 13:30:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 041129 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Jul 4 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located within a few hundred miles to the south of Bermuda are associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could form before the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward and then northward between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States. The system is then forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A small area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is producing a concentrated area of showers several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some additional development of this system is possible during the next few days while the low moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. Upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development by this weekend when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-04 07:02:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 040502 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Jul 4 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of cloudiness and showers remains a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. Although this disturbance is currently disorganized, environmental conditions could become more conducive for a low pressure system to form by late this week in the area southwest of Bermuda. The system is then forecast to move generally northward over the weekend and begin interacting with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms associated with tropical wave and a small area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Although satellite images show some signs of organization, the disturbance is moving west-northwestward toward an area unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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