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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-10-18 07:55:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 180555 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Nicole, located several hundred miles east-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located just to the northeast of the southeastern Bahamas has become more concentrated this morning, and surface observations indicate that pressures are falling in the area. The low is expected to slowly intensify as upper-level winds become more conducive, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone could form during the next day or two as the low moves northward or north-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-10-18 01:19:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 172319 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Nicole, located several hundred miles east-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. A broad area of low pressure located near the southeastern Bahamas is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms over the western Atlantic between the Bahamas and Bermuda. Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for significant development, but could become more conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation on Wednesday or Thursday when the system begins to drift northward or north-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-10-17 19:49:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 171749 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Nicole, located several hundred miles southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. A large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers located over the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos, and adjacent western Atlantic waters is associated with a broad surface low. Upper-level winds are expected to remains unfavorable for significant development during the next day or two, but they could become more conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Wednesday when the system begins to drift northward or north-northwestward. Locally heavy rainfall over the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos should diminish by tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-10-17 13:15:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 171115 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Nicole, located several hundred miles southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. A large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers located over the central and southeastern Bahamas and adjacent western Atlantic waters is associated with a surface trough that is interacting with an upper-level low. Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for significant development, but they could become more conducive for tropical or subtropical cyclone formation by late Tuesday or Wednesday when the system begins to drift northward or north-northwestward. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Bahamas during the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-10-17 07:38:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 170537 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Nicole, located several hundred miles southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. A large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers located over the Bahamas and adjacent western Atlantic waters is associated with a surface trough that is interacting with an upper-level low. Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for significant development, but they could become more conducive for tropical or subtropical cyclone formation by Tuesday or Wednesday when the system begins to drift northward or north-northwestward. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over much of the Bahamas during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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