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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-10-21 19:36:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 211736 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical area of low pressure located about 400 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, is expected to move toward the north-northeast with increasing forward speed later today. Increasing upper-level winds are expected to limit the opportunity for this system to become a subtropical or tropical cyclone, and this low is expected to degenerate into a trough ahead of an approaching frontal system tonight or early Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-10-21 13:34:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 211134 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure centered about 450 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, is moving northward. The thunderstorm activity is very limited and the chances for this system to become a subtropical or tropical cyclone are diminishing. This low is expected to merge with a large frontal system tonight or early Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-10-21 07:02:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 210501 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure centered a little more than 200 miles east-northeast of the northwestern Bahamas is moving slowly northward. Although the thunderstorm activity continues to be limited, there is still an opportunity for this system to become a subtropical or tropical cyclone later today before it merges with an approaching cold front well offshore of the United States east coast Friday night. Moisture from this system is still causing locally heavy rains along with life-threatening flash floods and mud slides over portions of Hispaniola. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-10-21 01:02:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 202301 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure centered a little more than 200 miles east of the northwestern Bahamas is moving slowly northward. Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter plane indicate that the low does not have a well defined center, and the thunderstorm activity continues to be limited. However, there is still an opportunity for this system to become a subtropical or tropical cyclone before it merges with an approaching cold front well offshore of the United States east coast Friday night. Moisture from this system is causing locally heavy rains along with life-threatening flash floods and mud slides over portions of Hispaniola. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-10-20 19:55:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 201755 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles northeast of the Central Bahamas is moving slowly and erratically, but is expected to begin moving northward by tonight. Although visible satellite imagery and surface observations suggest that the low-level circulation has become a little better defined since yesterday, preliminary reports from a NOAA reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the system does not have a well-defined center. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is limited and not well organized. This system could still become a subtropical or tropical cyclone before it merges with a cold front over the western Atlantic, well offshore of the United States east coast Friday night. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall along with life-threatening flash floods and mud slides are likely over portions of Hispaniola for the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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