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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-13 19:15:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131715 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ian, located well to the east-southeast of Bermuda. Surface observations, satellite images, and radar data indicate that an area of low pressure is located just inland near Daytona Beach, Florida. This system continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms, with winds to tropical storm force along or just offshore of portions of the northeast Florida coast. This system is very close to having the organization required of a tropical cyclone, and advisories could be initiated later this afternoon. The low is expected to move north-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph today, near and parallel to the northeast coast of Florida. Regardless of development, strong gusty winds will continue over portions of the northeast Florida coast today, and heavy rains will continue to spread over central and northern Florida today and tonight. Please consult your local National Weather Service office for additional information on this system, including possible warnings. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, located a couple of hundred miles east-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Pasch
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atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-13 13:46:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131146 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE SEP 13 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ian, located well to the east-southeast of Bermuda. An area of low pressure located just west of Melbourne, Florida, is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms near the Florida east coast and the adjacent Atlantic waters. Significant development of this system is not likely since the low is expected to continue to move over land through Wednesday. Locally heavy rains will continue to spread over central and northern Florida today and tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, located a couple of hundred miles east-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-13 07:28:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 130527 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE SEP 13 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ian, located well to the east-southeast of Bermuda. Satellite, radar, and surface data indicate that a weak area of low pressure is located near West Palm Beach, Florida. The low is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that extends from the northwestern Bahamas to the southeastern coast of Florida. Significant development of this system is unlikely since the low is expected to move inland over the central and northern portions of the Florida peninsula through tonight. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely to continue over the northwestern Bahamas this morning, and spread over portions of the Florida peninsula later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, located a couple of hundred miles east-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-13 01:16:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 122316 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT MON SEP 12 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ian, located well to the east-southeast of Bermuda. An area of disturbed weather is moving through the northwestern Bahamas at 5 to 10 mph. Although some increase in the amount and organization of associated thunderstorm activity could occur tonight when the system moves over the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream, strong upper-level winds and proximity to land are expected to prevent the development of a tropical cyclone before the disturbance moves inland over southeastern Florida Tuesday morning. However, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the northwestern Bahamas tonight, and over portions of the central and southern Florida peninsula on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is located a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next several days while the system moves west- northwestward to westward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-12 19:28:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 121728 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON SEP 12 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has begun issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Ian, located well to the southeast of Bermuda. Disorganized shower activity continues in association with a disturbance near the northwestern Bahamas. This system does not have a closed surface circulation, and conditions are not conducive for significant development while the disturbance moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. However, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas today, and portions of the Florida peninsula on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ian are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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