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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-10 01:26:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 092325 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased during the past 24 hours in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while this disturbance moves toward the west-northwest and then toward the northwest over the central Atlantic during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent An area of cloudiness, showers, and thunderstorms located just north of the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico is not showing any signs of organization. Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development of this system while it moves generally west-northwestward at around 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent Due to strong upper-level winds, shower and thunderstorm activity has become less organized and is now located farther southeast of an area of low pressure located just south of the lower Florida Keys. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for significant development while this system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days. However, squalls and gusty winds are possible in portions of the Florida Keys tonight and Saturday. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-09 19:56:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 091756 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of disturbed weather associated with a westward-moving tropical wave is located a little more than 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is gradually becoming better organized, and conditions are forecast to be favorable for a tropical depression to form this weekend or early next week. This disturbance is expected to move toward the west-northwest and then northwest over the central Atlantic during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent Cloudiness and showers located just north of the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico are spreading west-northwestward with no signs of organization. Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent Satellite wind data indicate that low pressure located in the Straits of Florida is producing squalls of 30 to 35 mph east of its center. If the system's thunderstorm activity persists or increases in organization, it could result in the formation of a tropical depression later today or Saturday. However, even if a depression forms, upper-level winds are not favorable for significant development while the system moves westward into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. This system could produce squalls and gusty winds in the Florida Keys tonight and Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-09 13:54:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 091154 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of disturbed weather associated with a westward-moving tropical wave is located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is gradually becoming better organized, and conditions are forecast to be favorable for a tropical depression to form this weekend or early next week. This disturbance is expected to move toward the west-northwest and then northwest over the central Atlantic during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent Cloudiness and showers located just north of the northern Leeward Islands are spreading west-northwestward with no signs of organization. Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent A small area of disturbed weather associated with a weak low has formed between Cuba and the western Bahamas. This activity is expected to spread westward across southern Florida and the Florida Keys later today and Saturday. Upper-level winds are not favorable for additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-09 07:01:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 090500 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large but disorganized area of disturbed weather located about 800 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated with a westward-moving tropical wave. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form while this system moves west-northwestward and northwestward into the central Atlantic by early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent An area of disorganized cloudiness and showers extending a couple hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with a weak disturbance. Surface pressures remain high in this area, and there are no signs of a surface circulation. During the next few days, this system is expected to move west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, and conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-09 01:21:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 082321 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large but disorganized area of disturbed weather located about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated with a westward-moving tropical wave. Any development of this system will likely be slow to occur during the next couple of days. However, conditions are forecast to become more favorable early next week, and a tropical depression could form in the central Atlantic while the system moves northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent A large area of cloudiness with showers and a few thunderstorms located about 200 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with a weak disturbance. Surface pressures remain high in this area, and there are no signs of a surface circulation. During the next few days, this system is expected to move west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, and conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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