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Tropical Storm Ramon Forecast Advisory Number 3

2017-10-04 22:34:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 04 2017 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 042034 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM RAMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192017 2100 UTC WED OCT 04 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO ANGEL TO ACAPULCO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 97.7W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 97.7W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 97.3W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.3N 99.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.6N 102.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.0N 105.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 97.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm Ramon Graphics

2017-10-04 19:45:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 04 Oct 2017 17:45:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 04 Oct 2017 16:33:47 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Ramon (EP4/EP192017)

2017-10-04 19:42:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...HEAVY RAINS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... As of 1:00 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 the center of Ramon was located near 15.0, -97.0 with movement WNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Ramon Public Advisory Number 2A

2017-10-04 19:42:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 100 PM CDT Wed Oct 04 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 041742 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ramon Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192017 100 PM CDT Wed Oct 04 2017 ...HEAVY RAINS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.0N 97.0W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Puerto Angel to Acapulco. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ramon was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 97.0 West. Ramon is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a general westward motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Ramon is expected to move parallel to, but remain offshore of, the coast of southern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is likely during the next 48 hours. Ramon is a small tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Ramon is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches over the Mexican states of Oaxaca and coastal Guerrero through Thursday. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area during the next day or so. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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