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Summary for Hurricane Douglas (EP3/EP082020)
2020-07-23 10:42:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DOUGLAS BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE... As of 11:00 PM HST Wed Jul 22 the center of Douglas was located near 13.1, -134.0 with movement WNW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 967 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 120 mph.
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Hurricane Douglas Public Advisory Number 12
2020-07-23 10:42:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM HST Wed Jul 22 2020 648 WTPZ33 KNHC 230842 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Hurricane Douglas Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082020 1100 PM HST Wed Jul 22 2020 ...DOUGLAS BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.1N 134.0W ABOUT 1470 MI...2365 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of Douglas. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Douglas was located near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 134.0 West. Douglas is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Douglas is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is possible on Thursday. Gradual weakening is forecast to begin by early Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. Key messages for Douglas can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Hurricane Douglas Forecast Advisory Number 12
2020-07-23 10:42:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 23 2020 649 WTPZ23 KNHC 230842 TCMEP3 HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082020 0900 UTC THU JUL 23 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DOUGLAS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 134.0W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 134.0W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 133.3W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.0N 136.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.3N 139.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.5N 142.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.6N 145.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.6N 148.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.4N 151.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 20.5N 157.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 21.0N 163.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 134.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Hurricane Douglas Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2020-07-23 10:42:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 23 2020 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 230842 PWSEP3 HURRICANE DOUGLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082020 0900 UTC THU JUL 23 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 15N 140W 34 X 77(77) 12(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 15N 140W 50 X 27(27) 25(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 15N 140W 64 X 8( 8) 14(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 40(40) 2(42) X(42) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 7(43) X(43) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 4(16) X(16) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) X(18) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 28(34) 1(35) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) 20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) X(28) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) HILO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 1(18) BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 2(19) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 3(23) 21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 3(24) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 5(23) KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 6(17) 21N 158W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 3(24) HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 4(21) LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 5(19) KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) HONOLULU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) JOINT BASE PHH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Hurricane Douglas Graphics
2020-07-23 04:56:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 23 Jul 2020 02:56:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 23 Jul 2020 02:56:19 GMT
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