je.st
news
Tag: hurricane
Hurricane Nicholas Forecast Advisory Number 8
2021-09-14 05:01:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 000 WTNT24 KNHC 140301 TCMAT4 HURRICANE NICHOLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021 0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WATCH SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS...IS DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS...TEXAS...IS DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM PORT O'CONNOR NORTH TO FREEPORT, TEXAS HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO SABINE PASS * GALVESTON BAY...ARANSAS BAY...SAN ANTONIO BAY...AND MATAGORDA BAY A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR.. * PORT O'CONNOR TO FREEPORT TEXAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TO SABINE PASS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABINE PASS TO RUTHERFORD BEACH LOUISIANA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICHOLAS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 95.8W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 95.8W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 96.0W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.6N 95.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.2N 94.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 100SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 30.3N 93.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 30.3N 93.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.3N 93.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.5N 92.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 95.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
advisory
forecast
nicholas
Hurricane Nicholas Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
2021-09-13 23:46:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Mon, 13 Sep 2021 21:46:00 GMT
Tags: map
potential
storm
nicholas
Hurricane Larry Forecast Discussion Number 43
2021-09-11 10:32:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sat Sep 11 2021 000 WTNT42 KNHC 110832 TCDAT2 Hurricane Larry Discussion Number 43 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 500 AM AST Sat Sep 11 2021 Larry made landfall near South East Bight, Newfoundland, around 0345 UTC. Since then, the hurricane has moved quickly north- northeastward at 42 kt and is now well northeast of Newfoundland. Although the hurricane still has some central convection, the low- and mid-level centers are separating, and the remaining convection is decreasing. The initial winds are lowered to 65 kt, consistent with the degraded structure. Larry should quickly transition into a strong post-tropical cyclone later today while it continues its speedy north-northeastward course, then dissipate as it merges with a developing mid-latitude low over the Labrador Sea. No significant changes were made to the track or intensity forecasts. Key Messages: 1. Large swells generated by Larry will continue to affect the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada through tonight. These swells will cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and beachgoers and other interests along these coasts are urged to follow the guidance of lifeguards and local officials. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0900Z 50.7N 51.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 11/1800Z 56.0N 46.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: number
discussion
larry
forecast
Hurricane Larry Graphics
2021-09-11 10:32:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 11 Sep 2021 08:32:20 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 11 Sep 2021 09:22:46 GMT
Tags: graphics
larry
hurricane
hurricane graphics
Hurricane Larry Wind Speed Probabilities Number 43
2021-09-11 10:31:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 11 2021 000 FONT12 KNHC 110831 PWSAT2 HURRICANE LARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 0900 UTC SAT SEP 11 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 50.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Sites : [58] [59] [60] [61] [62] [63] [64] [65] [66] [67] [68] [69] [70] [71] [72] [73] [74] [75] [76] [77] next »