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Summary for Tropical Storm Pamela (EP1/EP162021)

2021-10-13 16:47:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TROPICAL STORM PAMELA MOVING INLAND OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO BRINGING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS... As of 9:00 AM MDT Wed Oct 13 the center of Pamela was located near 24.4, -106.0 with movement NE at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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Tropical Storm Pamela Public Advisory Number 14

2021-10-13 16:47:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 900 AM MDT Wed Oct 13 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 131447 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Pamela Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162021 900 AM MDT Wed Oct 13 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM PAMELA MOVING INLAND OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO BRINGING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.4N 106.0W ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NNE OF MAZATLAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has changed the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning from Bahia Tempehuaya to Escuinapa. All other Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bahia Tempehuaya to Escuinapa A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are occurring within the warning area now. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pamela was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 106.0 West. Pamela is accelerating toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue at a faster speed prior to dissipation. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional rapid weakening is forecast as the center moves farther inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Pamela can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages. STORM SURGE: Storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds within the warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. WIND: Tropical Storm conditions are occuring within the Tropical Storm Warning area for the next few hours but should end later this afternoon. RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Pamela or its remnants are expected to produce the following rainfall amounts: Across the Mexican States of Sinaloa, western Durango, and northern Nayarit...4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches. This rainfall may trigger significant and life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Across portions of central Texas and southeastern Oklahoma...3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches. This may result in considerable flash and urban flooding impacts. SURF: Swells generated by Pamela will continue to affect portions of the southern Baja California peninsula, as well as southwestern and west-central mainland Mexico through today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT. Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Papin

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Tropical Storm Pamela Forecast Advisory Number 14

2021-10-13 16:46:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 13 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 131446 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PAMELA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 1500 UTC WED OCT 13 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO ESCUINAPA. ALL OTHER TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO ESCUINAPA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE WARNING AREA NOW. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 120SE 70SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 180SE 210SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 106.0W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 106.8W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 26.6N 102.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 106.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 13/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN

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Summary for Hurricane Pamela (EP1/EP162021)

2021-10-13 13:59:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...PAMELA MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE WEST MEXICAN COAST... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED WITHIN WARNING AREA THIS MORNING... As of 6:00 AM MDT Wed Oct 13 the center of Pamela was located near 23.7, -106.8 with movement NE at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 987 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

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Hurricane Pamela Public Advisory Number 13A

2021-10-13 13:59:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 600 AM MDT Wed Oct 13 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 131159 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Pamela Intermediate Advisory Number 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162021 600 AM MDT Wed Oct 13 2021 ...PAMELA MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE WEST MEXICAN COAST... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED WITHIN WARNING AREA THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.7N 106.8W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NW OF MAZATLAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bahia Tempehuaya to Escuinapa A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Bahia Tempehuaya to Altata * South of Escuinapa to Cabo Corrientes * Islas Marias A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are occurring within the warning area now. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are occurring within the warning area now. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Pamela was making landfall on the west-central coast of Mexico near Estacion Dimas estimated at latitude 23.7 North, longitude 106.8 West. Pamela is moving toward the northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is expected later today. On the forecast track, the center of Pamela will move farther inland over western Mexico later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is forecast as the center moves farther inland. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). A wind gust of 46 mph (74 km/h) was recently observed at Mazatlan Airport, Mexico. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Pamela can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages. STORM SURGE: Storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near Pamela's landfall location in southwestern Mexico. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area for the next few hours, with tropical storm conditions continuing to spread over portions of the coast. RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Pamela or its remnant is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts: Across the Mexican States of Sinaloa, western Durango, and northern Nayarit...4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches. This rainfall may trigger significant and life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. Across portions of central Texas and southeastern Oklahoma...3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches. This may result in considerable flash and urban flooding impacts. SURF: Swells generated by Pamela will continue to affect portions of the southern Baja California peninsula, as well as southwestern and west-central mainland Mexico through today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Stewart

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