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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-12 01:20:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 112319 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Oct 11 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave associated with a weak area of low pressure is located less than 200 miles east of the Windward Islands. While this system continues to produce showers and thunderstorms primarily east of its center, strong upper-level winds will likely prohibit further development on Tuesday. Regardless of development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another tropical wave moving over Hispaniola is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While environmental conditions are not expected to support development of this system over the next day or two, some gradual development is possible starting on Wednesday when the system nears the southeastern Bahamas and begins moving slowly eastward. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin
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atlantic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-11 20:20:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
761 ABNT20 KNHC 111732 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Oct 11 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located about 200 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce showers and a couple of thunderstorms. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the system has not developed a well-defined center. The potential for development of this system has decreased, and strong upper-level winds should prohibit further development on Tuesday. Regardless of development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another tropical wave located south of Hispaniola is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are not expected to support development of this system for the next day or two. However, some gradual development is possible beginning on Wednesday when the system nears the southeastern Bahamas. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-11 19:51:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
893 ABPZ20 KNHC 111751 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 11 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Pamela, located several hundred miles south-southwest of Mazatlan, Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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weather
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eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-11 13:50:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111150 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Oct 11 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located about 350 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands is producing an area of showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph toward the Lesser Antilles. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit further development on Tuesday. Regardless of development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles on Tuesday, and across the Virgin Islands and Leeward Islands on Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with another tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea has decreased since yesterday. Environmental conditions are not expected to support development of this system for the next day or two. However, some gradual development is possible beginning on Wednesday when the system nears the southeastern Bahamas. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-11 13:05:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111105 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Oct 11 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Pamela, located several hundred miles south of Mazatlan, Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Pamela are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Pamela are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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