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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-09 13:33:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 091133 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Oct 9 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system located about 200 miles southeast of Morehead City and Wilmington, North Carolina, continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could briefly become marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical characteristics through early Sunday. However, by late Sunday and Monday, environmental conditions should become unfavorable for any further development. The low is forecast to move slowly northwestward during the next day or so, and approach the North Carolina coast tonight and early Sunday. Therefore, interests along the North Carolina coast should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and eastern portions of North Carolina during the next day or two. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-09 07:02:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 090501 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 8 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of Tehuantepec, Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-09 07:01:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 090500 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 9 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure located about 200 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could briefly become marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical characteristics through early Sunday. However, by late Sunday and Monday, environmental conditions should become unfavorable for any further development. The low is forecast to move slowly northwestward during the next day or so near the North Carolina coast. Therefore, interests along the North Carolina coast should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect eastern portions of North Carolina during the next day or two. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-09 01:09:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 082309 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Oct 8 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Recent satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed a few hundred miles south-southeast of Tehuantepec, Mexico. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form by late this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-09 01:08:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 082308 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A nearly stationary area of low pressure located about 200 miles south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could briefly become marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical characteristics by Saturday night and early Sunday. By early next week, environmental conditions should become unfavorable for any further development. The low is forecast to begin moving slowly toward the west-northwest tonight and then northwest on Saturday, bringing the system closer to the coasts of the Carolinas. Therefore, interests along these coasts should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect eastern portions of the Carolinas through the weekend. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Saturday afternoon, if necessary. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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