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Tropical Storm Fred Public Advisory Number 30A
2021-08-17 07:42:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Tue Aug 17 2021 000 WTNT31 KNHC 170542 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fred Intermediate Advisory Number 30A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021 100 AM CDT Tue Aug 17 2021 ...CENTER OF FRED MOVING OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA... ...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD THREAT SPREADING INLAND... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.7N 85.2W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SSW OF EUFAULA ALABAMA ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM NNE OF DOTHAN ALABAMA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was located near latitude 31.7 North, longitude 85.2 West. Fred is moving toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue early this morning. A motion toward the north-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected to begin by late morning and continue for the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will move across western and northern Georgia today, across the southern Appalachian Mountains tonight, and into the central Appalachians by early Wednesday. NOAA Doppler weather radar data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected, and Fred should become a tropical depression later this morning. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km), mainly to the northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface observations is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Fred can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Fred is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts: Through Today... The Florida Big Bend and Panhandle... 4 to 8 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 12 inches are expected. Southeast Alabama through western and northern Georgia, and the western Carolinas... 4 to 8 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 10 inches are expected. Through Wednesday... Portions of the Mid-Atlantic States...2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 6 inches expected as Fred interacts with a nearby front. Heavy rainfall across portions of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic States could lead to flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. An increased risk of landslides exists across the mountains of North Carolina as well as portions of the Blue Ridge Escarpment today. For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with Tropical Storm Fred, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html STORM SURGE: Water levels along the Florida Gulf coast may remain elevated throughout the high tide cycle and subside thereafter. Consult products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office for additional information. WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds, primarily in gusts will continue over inland portions of southeastern Alabama, southwestern Georgia, and the eastern Florida Panhandle for a few more hours. SURF: Swells generated by Fred affecting the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida Panhandle should subside overnight. TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible overnight across parts of the eastern Florida Panhandle and southwest Georgia. The tornado threat will shift northward into parts of northeastern Georgia, the western Carolinas, and southern Virginia today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Fred Graphics
2021-08-17 07:42:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 17 Aug 2021 05:42:03 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 17 Aug 2021 03:23:09 GMT
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Tropical Storm Henri Graphics
2021-08-17 07:31:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 17 Aug 2021 05:31:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 17 Aug 2021 03:35:02 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Henri (AT3/AL082021)
2021-08-17 07:31:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HENRI MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD... As of 2:00 AM AST Tue Aug 17 the center of Henri was located near 30.6, -63.5 with movement SW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm Henri Public Advisory Number 5A
2021-08-17 07:31:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST Tue Aug 17 2021 000 WTNT33 KNHC 170531 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Henri Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082021 200 AM AST Tue Aug 17 2021 ...HENRI MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.6N 63.5W ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 215 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henri was located near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 63.5 West. Henri is moving toward the southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this motion should continue through this morning. A turn toward the west is forecast by tonight, and a slightly faster westward motion should continue through early Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Henri should pass well to the south of Bermuda late today or tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible during the next day or so. Henri is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward only up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible across Bermuda and the nearby waters today, particularly to the south of the island. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Latto
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