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Tropical Storm Fred Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28
2021-08-16 16:37:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 16 2021 751 FONT11 KNHC 161437 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021 1500 UTC MON AUG 16 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT COLUMBIA SC 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ATLANTA GA 34 4 6(10) 8(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) AUGUSTA GA 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAVANNAH GA 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KINGS BAY GA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WAYCROSS GA 34 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MAYPORT NS FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JACKSONVILLE 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GAINESVILLE FL 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) DAYTONA BEACH 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) THE VILLAGES 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ORLANDO FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VENICE FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TAMPA FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CEDAR KEY FL 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 80 2(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 16 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ST MARKS FL 34 80 X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) ST MARKS FL 50 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) APALACHICOLA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) APALACHICOLA 50 66 X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) APALACHICOLA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 290N 850W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PANAMA CITY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PANAMA CITY FL 50 64 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) PANAMA CITY FL 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 49 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) COLUMBUS GA 34 19 24(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) COLUMBUS GA 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTGOMERY AL 34 11 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) WHITING FLD FL 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) PENSACOLA FL 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 870W 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOBILE AL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Summary for Tropical Storm Fred (AT1/AL062021)
2021-08-16 15:41:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...FRED EXPECTED TO BRING A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER... As of 10:00 AM CDT Mon Aug 16 the center of Fred was located near 29.2, -85.7 with movement N at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Summary for Tropical Storm Fred (AT1/AL062021)
2021-08-16 14:28:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND FRED INTENSIFYING AND LOCATED A LITTLE FARTHER EAST... As of 7:30 AM CDT Mon Aug 16 the center of Fred was located near 28.7, -85.6 with movement N at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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fred
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Tropical Storm Fred Update Statement
2021-08-16 14:28:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 730 AM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021 000 WTNT61 KNHC 161228 TCUAT1 Tropical Storm Fred Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021 730 AM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021 ...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND FRED INTENSIFYING AND LOCATED A LITTLE FARTHER EAST... Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Fred is intensifying this morning, and now has maximum sustained winds near 60 mph (95 km/h), with an estimated minimum central pressure of 993 mb (29.32 inches). Data from the aircraft and National Weather Service Doppler radar indicate that Fred is now moving toward the north at 10 mph (17 km/h). SUMMARY OF 730 AM CDT...1230 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.7N 85.6W ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES $$ Forecaster Brennan/Pasch
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Summary for Tropical Storm Fred (AT1/AL062021)
2021-08-16 14:00:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND LATER TODAY... As of 7:00 AM CDT Mon Aug 16 the center of Fred was located near 28.6, -85.8 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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