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Tropical Storm Bill Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2021-06-15 16:36:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 435 FONT12 KNHC 151436 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BILL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022021 1500 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 60(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Summary for Tropical Storm Bill (AT2/AL022021)
2021-06-15 16:35:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...BILL RACING NORTHEASTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY... As of 11:00 AM AST Tue Jun 15 the center of Bill was located near 40.5, -62.0 with movement NE at 38 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm Bill Forecast Advisory Number 5
2021-06-15 16:34:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 151434 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022021 1500 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 62.0W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 33 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 0NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 180SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 62.0W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 63.9W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 43.4N 58.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 47.5N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 90SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.5N 62.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm Bill Graphics
2021-06-15 11:26:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 09:26:24 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 09:26:24 GMT
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Tropical Storm Bill Forecast Advisory Number 4
2021-06-15 11:19:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 914 WTNT22 KNHC 150918 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022021 0900 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 67.2W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 27 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 67.2W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 68.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 41.0N 62.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 44.7N 57.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 48.6N 52.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 67.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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