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Tropical Storm Octave Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2019-10-19 04:33:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 190232 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 1(15) 1(16) 10N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 10N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Tropical Storm Octave Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2019-10-18 22:32:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 182032 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 125W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 2(16) 1(17) 10N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 10N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tropical Storm Nestor Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2019-10-18 22:32:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 182031 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 4(26) X(26) X(26) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 10(10) 21(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FLORENCE SC 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 12(12) 17(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 20(20) 14(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 1( 1) 25(26) 7(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 1( 1) 31(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 2( 2) 30(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 3( 3) 29(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 6( 6) 10(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 17(17) 13(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) WAYCROSS GA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 2 4( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 9( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GAINESVILLE FL 34 1 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) THE VILLAGES 34 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ORLANDO FL 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PATRICK AFB 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VENICE FL 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TAMPA FL 34 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CEDAR KEY FL 34 10 13(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 56(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ST MARKS FL 34 3 61(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) ST MARKS FL 50 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) APALACHICOLA 34 60 29(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) APALACHICOLA 50 2 20(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) APALACHICOLA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 83 7(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) GFMX 290N 850W 50 12 24(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 50 16(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) PANAMA CITY FL 50 2 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 14 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) GFMX 290N 870W 34 58 X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) GFMX 290N 870W 50 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2019-10-18 16:49:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 181449 PWSAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 1500 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 23(34) X(34) X(34) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 13(30) X(30) X(30) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 21(21) 18(39) X(39) X(39) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 15(38) X(38) X(38) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 8(33) X(33) X(33) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 6(33) X(33) X(33) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 34(36) 5(41) X(41) X(41) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 12(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 36(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 31(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 28(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 21(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 2( 2) 25(27) 12(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 5( 5) 22(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 8( 8) 36(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 8( 8) 15(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 6( 6) 21(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 11(11) 17(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) THE VILLAGES 34 X 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) ORLANDO FL 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PATRICK AFB 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TAMPA FL 34 X 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) CEDAR KEY FL 34 3 27(30) 6(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 42(42) 27(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ST MARKS FL 34 1 45(46) 23(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) ST MARKS FL 50 X 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) APALACHICOLA 34 17 68(85) 2(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) APALACHICOLA 50 X 15(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) APALACHICOLA 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 290N 850W 34 30 54(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 18 66(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X 16(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 14 41(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COLUMBUS GA 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 1 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) PENSACOLA FL 34 1 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 290N 870W 34 82 12(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) GFMX 290N 870W 50 4 21(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MOBILE AL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GULFPORT MS 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 890W 34 77 X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) GFMX 280N 890W 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 910W 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Storm Octave Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2019-10-18 16:47:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 181446 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 1500 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 6(14) 2(16) 1(17) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 10N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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