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Tropical Storm Octave Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2019-10-18 10:34:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 180834 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 0900 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 10N 130W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2019-10-18 10:33:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 180833 PWSAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 0900 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) X(22) X(22) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) X(18) X(18) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) X(36) X(36) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) X(22) X(22) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) X(29) X(29) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) X(36) X(36) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) X(37) X(37) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 24(30) X(30) X(30) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 22(30) X(30) X(30) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 25(36) X(36) X(36) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 9(27) X(27) X(27) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 3(22) X(22) X(22) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 18(32) X(32) X(32) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 16(36) X(36) X(36) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 11(33) X(33) X(33) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 27(29) 6(35) X(35) X(35) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 29(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 14(14) 16(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) THE VILLAGES 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 7( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 3( 3) 43(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST MARKS FL 34 X 3( 3) 40(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 X 31(31) 28(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) APALACHICOLA 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 35(35) 16(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 38(38) 28(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 30(30) 14(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WHITING FLD FL 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GFMX 290N 870W 34 2 70(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MOBILE AL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GULFPORT MS 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 29 31(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 910W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2019-10-18 04:36:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 180236 PWSAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 0300 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 1(35) X(35) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) X(23) X(23) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) X(28) X(28) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) X(36) X(36) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) X(36) X(36) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 31(32) 1(33) X(33) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 31(32) X(32) X(32) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) X(37) X(37) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) X(31) X(31) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 19(24) X(24) X(24) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) X(34) X(34) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 37(39) X(39) X(39) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 33(35) X(35) X(35) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 32(37) X(37) X(37) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 27(37) X(37) X(37) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 15(27) X(27) X(27) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 20(36) X(36) X(36) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 5(31) X(31) X(31) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 32(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 25(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) APALACHICOLA 34 X 1( 1) 22(23) 11(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 1( 1) 36(37) 11(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 1( 1) 31(32) 7(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 13(13) 7(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 14(14) 6(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 9( 9) 49(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BURAS LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 59(59) 8(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tags: number
potential
speed
wind
Tropical Storm Octave Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2019-10-18 04:33:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 180233 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 0300 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 125W 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 7(12) 6(18) 2(20) 10N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 10N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2019-10-17 22:51:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 17 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 172045 PWSAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC THU OCT 17 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 5(18) X(18) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 5(19) X(19) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 6(21) X(21) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 4(25) X(25) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 1(22) X(22) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ROCKY MT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 8(36) X(36) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) X(27) X(27) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 1(30) X(30) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 2(36) X(36) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 2(37) X(37) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) X(32) X(32) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) X(32) X(32) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 1(36) X(36) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 31(32) X(32) X(32) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) X(27) X(27) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) X(33) X(33) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) X(38) X(38) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 33(34) X(34) X(34) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35) X(35) X(35) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) X(35) X(35) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) X(29) X(29) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) AUGUSTA GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 31(36) X(36) X(36) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) X(18) X(18) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 16(35) X(35) X(35) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) X(14) X(14) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) X(15) X(15) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 41(42) 3(45) X(45) X(45) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 37(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 12(12) 32(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 13(13) 14(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) 18(18) 36(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 17(17) 21(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) 55(55) 5(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 5( 5) 46(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
potential
speed
wind
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