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Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 47

2019-09-05 04:55:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 050255 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 47 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0300 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 25(33) X(33) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 43(54) X(54) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 51(70) X(70) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) X(28) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 57(57) 18(75) X(75) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 15(35) X(35) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 45(45) 31(76) X(76) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 24(37) X(37) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 53(53) 3(56) X(56) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 72(72) 4(76) X(76) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 3(37) X(37) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 68(68) X(68) X(68) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) X(33) X(33) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 7(39) X(39) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 3(35) X(35) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 2(26) X(26) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 38(43) X(43) X(43) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 48(55) X(55) X(55) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 19(30) X(30) X(30) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 17(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 23(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 9(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) RICHMOND VA 34 X 5( 5) 6(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) DANVILLE VA 34 2 4( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 5( 5) 25(30) 5(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X 5( 5) 30(35) 6(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 5( 5) 37(42) 8(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ELIZABETH CTY 34 1 8( 9) 59(68) 6(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) 21(21) 5(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 2 4( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) RALEIGH NC 34 2 12(14) 10(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) ROCKY MT NC 34 2 17(19) 26(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) ROCKY MT NC 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 3 37(40) 54(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 2( 2) 76(78) 7(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 52(52) 10(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) FAYETTEVILLE 34 5 52(57) 5(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) FAYETTEVILLE 50 1 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CHERRY PT NC 34 3 68(71) 26(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) CHERRY PT NC 50 X 9( 9) 71(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) CHERRY PT NC 64 X 1( 1) 21(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) NEW RIVER NC 34 6 72(78) 20(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) NEW RIVER NC 50 X 15(15) 74(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) NEW RIVER NC 64 X 1( 1) 70(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) MOREHEAD CITY 34 9 74(83) 15(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 22(22) 69(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 3( 3) 68(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) SURF CITY NC 34 14 81(95) 4(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 50 1 56(57) 32(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) SURF CITY NC 64 X 11(11) 22(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) WILMINGTON NC 34 28 70(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 50 2 70(72) 16(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) WILMINGTON NC 64 X 16(16) 16(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) BALD HEAD ISL 34 79 21(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 50 4 91(95) 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X 75(75) 10(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) FLORENCE SC 34 48 23(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) FLORENCE SC 50 2 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) COLUMBIA SC 34 11 5(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) LITTLE RIVER 34 80 20(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 50 4 86(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) LITTLE RIVER 64 X 31(31) 4(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) MYRTLE BEACH 34 91 9(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 25 72(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) MYRTLE BEACH 64 2 63(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) GEORGETOWN SC 34 98 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 50 57 39(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) GEORGETOWN SC 64 4 36(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 50 90 3(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) CHARLESTON SC 64 19 6(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 43 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ATLANTA GA 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAVANNAH GA 34 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) SAVANNAH GA 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KINGS BAY GA 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WAYCROSS GA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAYPORT NS FL 34 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) JACKSONVILLE 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GAINESVILLE FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Remnants of Fernand Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2019-09-05 04:33:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 000 FONT12 KNHC 050233 PWSAT2 REMNANTS OF FERNAND WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072019 0300 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF FERNAND WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS ...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane Juliette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16

2019-09-05 04:33:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 050233 PWSEP1 HURRICANE JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112019 0300 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 120W 34 96 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 20N 120W 50 38 7(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) 20N 120W 64 11 5(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 25N 120W 34 2 3( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 125W 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) 25N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 17(24) 5(29) 1(30) X(30) 25N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) X(17) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 46

2019-09-04 22:56:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 04 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 042056 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 46 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 2100 UTC WED SEP 04 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 1(17) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 43(43) X(43) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 62(62) 1(63) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 1(24) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72(72) X(72) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) X(33) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 65(68) X(68) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) X(26) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 72(74) X(74) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 1(34) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 42(52) X(52) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 60(72) X(72) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) X(33) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 45(45) 16(61) X(61) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 14(28) X(28) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) X(37) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 25(32) X(32) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 13(22) X(22) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) X(13) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) X(35) X(35) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 47(47) X(47) X(47) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 1(26) X(26) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 8(29) X(29) X(29) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 27(33) 8(41) X(41) X(41) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) RICHMOND VA 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) DANVILLE VA 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 23(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 28(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 34(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 5( 5) 15(20) 43(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 2 4( 6) 4(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) RALEIGH NC 34 2 5( 7) 11(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) ROCKY MT NC 34 2 5( 7) 21(28) 10(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 11(12) 50(62) 36(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 16(16) 70(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 55(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) FAYETTEVILLE 34 3 23(26) 25(51) 2(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) CHERRY PT NC 34 3 11(14) 68(82) 11(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) CHERRY PT NC 50 X 1( 1) 37(38) 23(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) NEW RIVER NC 34 4 30(34) 55(89) 9(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) NEW RIVER NC 50 X 1( 1) 55(56) 29(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) 24(24) 36(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) MOREHEAD CITY 34 4 35(39) 51(90) 8(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 2( 2) 59(61) 23(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) 29(29) 29(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) SURF CITY NC 34 4 43(47) 47(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) SURF CITY NC 50 X 3( 3) 62(65) 5(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) 20(20) 4(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) WILMINGTON NC 34 4 56(60) 35(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 7( 7) 59(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) 20(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) BALD HEAD ISL 34 32 57(89) 11(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 50 1 41(42) 50(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X 7( 7) 62(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) FLORENCE SC 34 8 54(62) 7(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) FLORENCE SC 50 1 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) COLUMBIA SC 34 6 17(23) 4(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) LITTLE RIVER 34 17 73(90) 8(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) LITTLE RIVER 50 1 38(39) 34(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) LITTLE RIVER 64 X 7( 7) 16(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) MYRTLE BEACH 34 58 39(97) 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 3 67(70) 17(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 27(27) 24(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) GEORGETOWN SC 34 67 32(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 50 2 75(77) 6(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X 26(26) 5(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) CHARLESTON SC 34 91 9(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 50 19 58(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) CHARLESTON SC 64 1 16(17) X(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 94 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 33 14(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ATLANTA GA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 5 5(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAVANNAH GA 34 90 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) SAVANNAH GA 50 18 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KINGS BAY GA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 11 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAYPORT NS FL 50 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MAYPORT NS FL 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GAINESVILLE FL 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DAYTONA BEACH 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) THE VILLAGES 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ORLANDO FL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COCOA BEACH FL 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PATRICK AFB 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FT PIERCE FL 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) W PALM BEACH 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST MARKS FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) APALACHICOLA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Tags: number speed wind hurricane

 

Hurricane Juliette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

2019-09-04 22:38:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 04 2019 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 042038 PWSEP1 HURRICANE JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112019 2100 UTC WED SEP 04 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 115W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 120W 34 78 19(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 20N 120W 50 7 40(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) 20N 120W 64 1 17(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 25N 120W 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 125W 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 11(25) 1(26) X(26) 25N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 1(14) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Tags: number speed wind hurricane

 

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