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Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 33
2019-09-01 16:56:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 011456 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 155 KTS...180 MPH...285 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 27(32) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 18(25) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 44(59) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 33(35) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 13(31) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 33(49) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 39(62) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 30(36) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 35(61) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 28(35) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 28(52) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 25(52) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 37(47) 20(67) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 19(38) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 12(20) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 7(37) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 3(26) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 33(38) 17(55) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 39(53) 13(66) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 8(31) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 39(47) 9(56) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 5(24) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 39(53) 4(57) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 3(26) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 36(55) 2(57) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 1(24) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) 1(23) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 19(22) 31(53) 1(54) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) X(22) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 36(43) 20(63) 1(64) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 15(27) X(27) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18(22) 17(39) X(39) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 10(16) 50(66) 14(80) 1(81) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 18(45) 1(46) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 12(24) X(24) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 36(44) 16(60) 1(61) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 10(22) 1(23) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 26(35) 8(43) X(43) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 2( 3) 7(10) 19(29) 46(75) 5(80) X(80) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 32(39) 4(43) 1(44) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17) THE VILLAGES 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 12(19) 30(49) 6(55) X(55) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 11(14) 2(16) X(16) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 1 3( 4) 14(18) 24(42) 31(73) 3(76) X(76) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 23(34) 2(36) X(36) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 11(13) 1(14) X(14) COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 25(27) 39(66) 20(86) 12(98) X(98) X(98) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X 2( 2) 15(17) 27(44) 32(76) 2(78) X(78) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 30(50) 1(51) X(51) PATRICK AFB 34 2 8(10) 34(44) 25(69) 22(91) 2(93) X(93) PATRICK AFB 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 21(30) 32(62) 1(63) X(63) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 22(32) 1(33) X(33) FT PIERCE FL 34 4 57(61) 28(89) 7(96) 3(99) 1(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 50 1 9(10) 38(48) 22(70) 15(85) 1(86) X(86) FT PIERCE FL 64 X 1( 1) 17(18) 24(42) 18(60) 1(61) X(61) W PALM BEACH 34 7 69(76) 18(94) 4(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) W PALM BEACH 50 1 21(22) 35(57) 15(72) 6(78) X(78) X(78) W PALM BEACH 64 X 4( 4) 22(26) 14(40) 7(47) X(47) X(47) FT LAUDERDALE 34 4 57(61) 23(84) 6(90) 3(93) X(93) X(93) FT LAUDERDALE 50 1 10(11) 24(35) 10(45) 6(51) X(51) X(51) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) MIAMI FL 34 2 16(18) 24(42) 11(53) 5(58) 1(59) X(59) MIAMI FL 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 6(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 2 7( 9) 18(27) 8(35) 7(42) 1(43) X(43) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MARATHON FL 34 1 4( 5) 7(12) 7(19) 6(25) X(25) X(25) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17) NAPLES FL 34 1 2( 3) 7(10) 9(19) 10(29) 1(30) X(30) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FT MYERS FL 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 11(22) 12(34) 1(35) X(35) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) VENICE FL 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 12(26) 2(28) X(28) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) TAMPA FL 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 17(31) 4(35) X(35) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) 22(35) 7(42) X(42) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) X(14) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 4(14) X(14) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 8(10) 3(13) X(13) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) GRAND BAHAMA 34 98 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 50 57 41(98) 1(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 64 8 71(79) 9(88) 3(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 66 8(74) 4(78) 2(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 3 2( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ANDROS 34 3 4( 7) 5(12) 5(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) ANDROS 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN SALVADOR 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Storm Juliette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2019-09-01 16:41:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 011440 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 95 2(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 15N 110W 50 41 7(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) 15N 110W 64 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 20N 110W 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 11(13) 6(19) 2(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) ISLA CLARION 34 X 7( 7) 57(64) 23(87) 2(89) 1(90) X(90) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 19(19) 37(56) 4(60) X(60) X(60) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 29(34) 3(37) X(37) X(37) 15N 115W 34 1 4( 5) 12(17) 6(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 X 3( 3) 13(16) 27(43) 11(54) 1(55) X(55) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) 36(72) 4(76) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 27(35) 1(36) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 1(18) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 22(34) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 25N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 32
2019-09-01 10:52:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 010852 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 42(50) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 17(29) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 35(43) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 41(56) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 40(56) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 33(48) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 30(48) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 30(34) 28(62) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 26(36) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 12(34) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 7(26) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 26(53) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 35(41) 23(64) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 17(32) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 34(38) 19(57) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 38(44) 12(56) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 5(23) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 39(47) 6(53) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 2(21) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 4(22) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 39(48) 3(51) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 2(18) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 20(25) 32(57) 1(58) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) X(23) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 10(12) 23(35) 1(36) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 37(47) 31(78) X(78) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 27(39) 1(40) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) X(19) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 20(26) 28(54) 1(55) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) X(19) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 17(24) 15(39) X(39) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 9(16) 43(59) 15(74) X(74) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 21(23) 12(35) X(35) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) THE VILLAGES 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 26(38) 11(49) 1(50) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) X(13) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 1 2( 3) 7(10) 16(26) 35(61) 7(68) 1(69) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 19(24) 5(29) X(29) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 9(11) 39(50) 21(71) 23(94) 1(95) X(95) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 14(22) 41(63) 5(68) X(68) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 31(38) 3(41) X(41) PATRICK AFB 34 1 4( 5) 22(27) 21(48) 37(85) 3(88) X(88) PATRICK AFB 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 35(48) 4(52) X(52) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 17(21) 2(23) X(23) FT PIERCE FL 34 2 31(33) 43(76) 12(88) 10(98) X(98) X(98) FT PIERCE FL 50 X 2( 2) 24(26) 23(49) 29(78) 2(80) X(80) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 29(52) 1(53) X(53) W PALM BEACH 34 2 46(48) 34(82) 10(92) 5(97) 1(98) X(98) W PALM BEACH 50 1 5( 6) 31(37) 18(55) 17(72) 1(73) X(73) W PALM BEACH 64 X 1( 1) 13(14) 14(28) 19(47) X(47) X(47) FT LAUDERDALE 34 2 31(33) 36(69) 15(84) 7(91) 1(92) X(92) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X 4( 4) 16(20) 15(35) 12(47) X(47) X(47) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 11(24) X(24) X(24) MIAMI FL 34 1 6( 7) 21(28) 17(45) 11(56) 2(58) X(58) MIAMI FL 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 8(19) 1(20) X(20) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 1 4( 5) 12(17) 15(32) 11(43) 1(44) X(44) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MARATHON FL 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 10(19) 10(29) 1(30) X(30) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) KEY WEST FL 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 7(19) 1(20) X(20) NAPLES FL 34 1 1( 2) 5( 7) 8(15) 14(29) 2(31) X(31) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) FT MYERS FL 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 10(17) 16(33) 3(36) X(36) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) VENICE FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 13(24) 4(28) X(28) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) TAMPA FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 16(27) 6(33) X(33) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 19(28) 9(37) 1(38) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 1(13) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) X(14) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) X(11) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) X(11) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) GRAND BAHAMA 34 54 45(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 50 3 78(81) 14(95) 1(96) 2(98) X(98) X(98) GRAND BAHAMA 64 1 50(51) 25(76) 5(81) 6(87) X(87) X(87) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 21 34(55) 7(62) 6(68) 4(72) X(72) X(72) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 2 3( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANDROS 34 2 4( 6) 6(12) 7(19) 7(26) X(26) X(26) ANDROS 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) SAN SALVADOR 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CIENFUEGOS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm Juliette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2019-09-01 10:32:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 010832 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 51 34(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 15N 110W 50 4 26(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) 15N 110W 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 25(27) 46(73) 8(81) 1(82) X(82) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) 9(41) X(41) X(41) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 6(19) X(19) X(19) 15N 115W 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 10(27) 3(30) 1(31) X(31) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 18(25) 18(43) 2(45) X(45) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) X(11) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 40(65) 6(71) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 27(30) 4(34) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 2(16) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 23(30) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31
2019-09-01 04:52:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 010252 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0300 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 36(40) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 23(31) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 34(39) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 40(50) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 41(51) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 38(47) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 37(48) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 36(62) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 30(36) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 20(38) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 12(29) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 33(52) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 30(34) 30(64) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 26(35) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 27(30) 28(58) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 18(27) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 34(39) 22(61) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 12(27) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 37(44) 15(59) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 6(23) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 7(25) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 39(47) 10(57) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 3(22) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 14(18) 45(63) 4(67) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 2(29) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 30(39) 3(42) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 31(39) 41(80) 3(83) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 34(42) 3(45) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 1(23) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 14(19) 41(60) 3(63) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 1(26) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 13(18) 27(45) 1(46) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) X(14) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 37(48) 26(74) 1(75) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 23(38) 1(39) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 1(15) THE VILLAGES 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 20(28) 22(50) 1(51) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) X(15) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) ORLANDO FL 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 10(15) 33(48) 16(64) 1(65) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 14(16) 11(27) 1(28) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 4( 5) 24(29) 26(55) 31(86) 6(92) X(92) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 34(48) 12(60) X(60) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 21(25) 9(34) 1(35) PATRICK AFB 34 1 2( 3) 8(11) 20(31) 38(69) 10(79) 1(80) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 27(35) 10(45) 1(46) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 6(19) X(19) FT PIERCE FL 34 2 7( 9) 43(52) 22(74) 18(92) 3(95) X(95) FT PIERCE FL 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 19(28) 32(60) 4(64) 1(65) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 23(34) 4(38) X(38) W PALM BEACH 34 2 13(15) 45(60) 20(80) 11(91) 2(93) X(93) W PALM BEACH 50 X 2( 2) 12(14) 20(34) 21(55) 2(57) X(57) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 16(28) 2(30) X(30) FT LAUDERDALE 34 2 8(10) 39(49) 19(68) 14(82) 2(84) X(84) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 12(21) 13(34) 2(36) X(36) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) X(14) X(14) MIAMI FL 34 1 3( 4) 12(16) 13(29) 14(43) 3(46) X(46) MIAMI FL 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) X(14) 1(15) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 1 2( 3) 7(10) 10(20) 12(32) 3(35) X(35) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MARATHON FL 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 10(24) 3(27) X(27) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KEY WEST FL 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 6(15) 2(17) X(17) NAPLES FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 10(19) 6(25) X(25) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FT MYERS FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 13(21) 7(28) X(28) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) VENICE FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 11(18) 7(25) 1(26) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) TAMPA FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 14(21) 10(31) 1(32) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 16(22) 20(42) 1(43) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) X(11) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) GRAND BAHAMA 34 5 83(88) 10(98) 1(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 50 1 32(33) 45(78) 10(88) 6(94) X(94) X(94) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X 10(10) 40(50) 14(64) 11(75) X(75) X(75) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 10 54(64) 9(73) 6(79) 3(82) X(82) X(82) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 1 7( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ANDROS 34 2 6( 8) 7(15) 8(23) 9(32) 1(33) X(33) ANDROS 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GREAT EXUMA 34 2 2( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) SAN SALVADOR 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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