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Tropical Depression Six Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2019-08-27 04:39:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 27 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 270239 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062019 0300 UTC TUE AUG 27 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) X(20) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 19(24) X(24) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER LATTO/PASCH
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Tropical Storm Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2019-08-26 22:40:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 26 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 262040 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 2100 UTC MON AUG 26 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 37(43) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 32(38) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 23(43) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 18(46) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 40(45) 4(49) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 27(49) 1(50) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) X(16) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 40(43) 9(52) X(52) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 3(16) X(16) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 44(46) 1(47) X(47) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 43(45) 15(60) X(60) X(60) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 9(23) X(23) X(23) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 32(58) X(58) X(58) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) X(22) X(22) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 11(34) X(34) X(34) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) VIEQUES PR 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 40(46) 4(50) X(50) X(50) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 21(27) 3(30) X(30) X(30) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 29(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) SABA 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) BARBUDA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ANTIGUA 34 1 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GUADELOUPE 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) AVES 34 1 10(11) 74(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) AVES 50 X 1( 1) 43(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) AVES 64 X X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) DOMINICA 34 1 20(21) 2(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) MARTINIQUE 34 3 47(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) MARTINIQUE 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT LUCIA 34 56 41(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) SAINT LUCIA 50 27 39(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) SAINT LUCIA 64 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT VINCENT 34 14 21(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) SAINT VINCENT 50 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BARBADOS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARBADOS 50 51 X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) GRENADA 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tropical Depression Six Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2019-08-26 22:38:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 26 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 262038 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062019 2100 UTC MON AUG 26 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) X(22) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) X(29) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) X(26) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) X(17) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Storm Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2019-08-26 16:46:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 26 2019 389 FONT15 KNHC 261446 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 1500 UTC MON AUG 26 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 7(32) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 30(43) 2(45) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) X(14) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 23(54) 1(55) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) 1(20) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) 6(43) X(43) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 43(56) X(56) X(56) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) X(21) X(21) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 47(52) 1(53) X(53) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) X(18) X(18) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 25(34) X(34) X(34) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 16(53) X(53) X(53) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) 10(35) X(35) X(35) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT CROIX 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 41(46) 8(54) X(54) X(54) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) SABA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 9(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 8(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) BARBUDA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) ANTIGUA 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) GUADELOUPE 34 1 2( 3) 8(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) AVES 34 X 2( 2) 70(72) 15(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) AVES 50 X X( X) 35(35) 16(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) AVES 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) DOMINICA 34 1 16(17) 23(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) DOMINICA 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 1 58(59) 7(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) MARTINIQUE 50 X 14(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MARTINIQUE 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT LUCIA 34 1 92(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) SAINT LUCIA 50 X 60(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) SAINT LUCIA 64 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SAINT VINCENT 34 1 44(45) 1(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) SAINT VINCENT 50 X 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) SAINT VINCENT 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BARBADOS 34 92 5(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) BARBADOS 50 57 8(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) BARBADOS 64 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GRENADA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tropical Storm Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2019-08-26 10:48:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 26 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 260847 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0900 UTC MON AUG 26 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 2(28) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 1(17) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 30(41) 1(42) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 24(42) X(42) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40) X(40) X(40) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) 2(38) X(38) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 1(25) X(25) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 31(39) 1(40) X(40) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 19(27) 1(28) X(28) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 24(39) 1(40) X(40) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) SABA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) BARBUDA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ANTIGUA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) GUADELOUPE 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) AVES 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 55(68) 3(71) X(71) X(71) AVES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOMINICA 34 X 2( 2) 32(34) 3(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MARTINIQUE 34 1 9(10) 44(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) MARTINIQUE 50 X 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT LUCIA 34 1 35(36) 44(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) SAINT LUCIA 50 X 6( 6) 26(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) SAINT LUCIA 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT VINCENT 34 1 25(26) 25(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) SAINT VINCENT 50 X 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BARBADOS 34 2 81(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) BARBADOS 50 X 28(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) BARBADOS 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRENADA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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