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Tropical Depression Twenty-Four-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2018-10-20 11:04:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 20 2018 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 200904 CCA PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP242018...CORRECTED 0900 UTC SAT OCT 20 2018 CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER FROM 2 TO 1 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 17(40) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 15(26) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CULIACAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 12(25) 13(38) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 14(20) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 9(18) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) SAN BLAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 6(18) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 15N 105W 34 62 3(65) 2(67) 1(68) 1(69) 1(70) 1(71) 15N 105W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 15N 105W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 4(15) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MANZANILLO 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 6(16) 4(20) 4(24) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 15N 110W 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 9(17) 11(28) 7(35) 3(38) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 30(39) 19(58) 9(67) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 16(27) 8(35) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 5(18) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 31(40) 18(58) 8(66) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 14(24) 6(30) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 4(17) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm Vicente Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2018-10-20 10:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 20 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 200836 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018 0900 UTC SAT OCT 20 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) X(19) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 2(20) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 9(19) 1(20) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 8(19) X(19) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 10N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 25(32) 3(35) X(35) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 95W 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm Vicente Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

2018-10-20 04:36:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 20 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 200235 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018 0300 UTC SAT OCT 20 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 2(21) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 3(18) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 2(17) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 15N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 6(30) 1(31) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 10N 95W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 95W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm Vicente Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

2018-10-19 22:36:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 19 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 192036 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018 2100 UTC FRI OCT 19 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 4(17) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 5(21) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 3(19) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 15N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 27(29) 12(41) 1(42) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 6(12) 1(13) X(13) HUATULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 10N 95W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 95W 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Depression Twenty-three-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2018-10-19 16:57:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 19 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 191457 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-THREE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018 1500 UTC FRI OCT 19 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-THREE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 8(23) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 4(17) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 3(17) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 15N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 12(37) 2(39) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 6(17) 1(18) X(18) HUATULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 10N 95W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 15N 95W 34 1 6( 7) 8(15) 7(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) 15N 95W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P SAN JOSE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) $$ FORECASTER BERG

Tags: number speed wind tropical

 

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