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Tropical Storm Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2018-08-18 04:32:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 18 2018 220 FONT15 KNHC 180232 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018 0300 UTC SAT AUG 18 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 50.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 25.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tropical Storm Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2018-08-17 22:32:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 552 FONT15 KNHC 172032 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018 2100 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 49.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Hurricane Lane Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2018-08-17 22:32:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 551 FOPZ14 KNHC 172032 PWSEP4 HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142018 2100 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 135W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 140W 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 140W 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 2(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 41(43) 33(76) 1(77) X(77) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 30(38) X(38) X(38) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) X(18) X(18) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 39(76) 1(77) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 32(41) 2(43) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 1(23) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 8(31) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 32(50) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Hurricane Lane Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2018-08-17 16:53:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 257 FOPZ14 KNHC 171453 PWSEP4 HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142018 1500 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 132.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 135W 34 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 10N 140W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 140W 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 5(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 52(71) 2(73) X(73) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 34(37) 1(38) X(38) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 1(18) X(18) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 43(67) 4(71) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 30(36) 3(39) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 2(21) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 11(32) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 28(45) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Tropical Storm Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2018-08-17 16:41:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 322 FONT15 KNHC 171441 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018 1500 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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