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Subtropical Storm Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2018-08-16 04:33:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 16 2018 204 FONT15 KNHC 160233 PWSAT5 SUBTROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018 0300 UTC THU AUG 16 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tropical Storm Lane Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2018-08-16 04:33:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 16 2018 546 FOPZ14 KNHC 160233 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142018 0300 UTC THU AUG 16 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 125W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 130W 34 X 53(53) 16(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) 10N 130W 50 X 18(18) 12(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) 10N 130W 64 X 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 15N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 40(44) 3(47) X(47) X(47) 10N 135W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) 10N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 3(24) X(24) 10N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 10N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 6(42) X(42) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) X(14) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) 10N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 58(60) 11(71) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 10(43) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 8(27) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 39(44) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Subtropical Storm Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2018-08-15 22:35:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 15 2018 987 FONT15 KNHC 152035 PWSAT5 SUBTROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018 2100 UTC WED AUG 15 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tropical Storm Lane Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2018-08-15 22:34:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 15 2018 287 FOPZ14 KNHC 152034 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142018 2100 UTC WED AUG 15 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 125W 34 16 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 10N 130W 34 X 4( 4) 51(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) 10N 130W 50 X X( X) 21(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 10N 130W 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 18(39) X(39) X(39) 10N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) 10N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) X(17) X(17) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 8(23) 1(24) 10N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 10N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 27(48) 2(50) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 1(23) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 10N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 10N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 28(65) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 21(37) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Subtropical Storm Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2018-08-15 16:52:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 15 2018 784 FONT15 KNHC 151452 PWSAT5 SUBTROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018 1500 UTC WED AUG 15 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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