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Australia's Chance El Nio Rises To 70%; Heatwaves & Drought To Persist

2014-11-20 07:17:00| Climate Ark Climate Change & Global Warming Newsfeed

International Business Times: The weather bureau has revised its El Nio forecast from a 50 percent probability to the current 70 percent. According to the bureau's latest report, above average sea temperatures continue to rise in the Pacific Ocean in the last two weeks. Surface temperatures have increased higher than El Nio thresholds in the past three months. The bureau's El Nio southern oscillation tracker status was changed from "watch" to "alert" level. The eastern part of Australia may be facing dry conditions in the...

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Scientists were expecting a big El Nio this year. So where did it go?

2014-11-09 15:00:00| Climate Ark Climate Change & Global Warming Newsfeed

Vox: Back in the spring, a number of experts suggested we could see a strong El Nio in late 2014, perhaps similar to the monster event in 1997-98 that upended weather patterns across the globe. That might mean record temperatures, floods in some areas, droughts in others -- a huge deal. But in the months since, scientists have gotten a surprise: El Nio hasn't been unfolding as expected. In fact, there's a good chance it might not appear at all. The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center...

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El Nio is Kinda Sorta Maybe Here

2014-09-18 20:02:00| Climate Ark Climate Change & Global Warming Newsfeed

Climate Central: On Tuesday, researchers at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society said a borderline El Nio is upon us, with the odds for further development increasing throughout the fall and winter. Chart showing ocean temperatures in different regions of the Pacific used to gauge El Nio, including the recent rise in temperatures. Credit: IRI This El Nio has played a game of hide and seek since an El Nio Watch was declared way back in March. After picking up steam in the spring and...

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Hopes for a strong El Nio fade in California

2014-09-10 16:00:00| Climate Ark Climate Change & Global Warming Newsfeed

New York Times: Long-term weather forecasters say it is now unlikely that a strong El Nio will develop this fall, dimming hopes in California for heavy rains that might bring relief from a severe drought. In its latest monthly forecast, the federal Climate Prediction Center in College Park, Md., said that while there was still about a two in three chance that El Nio would develop, perhaps in the next two months, it would most likely be weak. This year, some scientists had said rising water temperatures and changing...

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Odds of El Nio Drop; Still Expected to Form

2014-08-07 16:02:00| Climate Ark Climate Change & Global Warming Newsfeed

Climate Central: The El Nio that seems to be trying to form in the tropical Pacific Ocean is looking a little less likely now, though the chances of it developing are still double the normal odds, forecasters said in the latest monthly update on the cyclical climate phenomenon, released Thursday. The climate impacts typically associated with an El Nio during the months of December, January, and February. That update lowered the odds of an El Nio occurring in fall and early winter to 65 percent, down from...

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