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Remnants of Nana Public Advisory Number 12
2020-09-04 04:39:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Thu Sep 03 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 040239 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Remnants Of Nana Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162020 1000 PM CDT Thu Sep 03 2020 ...NANA DISSIPATES NEAR THE GUATEMALA/MEXICO BORDER... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 92.0W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM NW OF GUATEMALA CITY GUATEMALA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the remnants of Nana were located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 92.0 West. The remnants are moving toward the west-southwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday night. The remnants of Nana are forecast to move over the eastern Pacific waters near the Gulf of Tehuantepec later tonight or on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Nana is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Friday: Central to western Guatemala and the Mexican state of Chiapas: An additional 1 to 3 inches of rain is expected, bringing event totals to 3 to 6 inches. 1 to 3 inches of rain is expected in southern Oaxaca through Friday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on the remnants of Nana can be found in the eastern Pacific basin Tropical Weather Outlook. This product can be found under awips header MIATWOEP, WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC, and on the web at www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOEP+shtml/ $$ Forecaster Brown
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nana
Remnants of Nana Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2020-09-04 04:39:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 04 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 040239 PWSAT1 REMNANTS OF NANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162020 0300 UTC FRI SEP 04 2020 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF NANA WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Remnants of Nana Forecast Advisory Number 12
2020-09-04 04:37:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 04 2020 000 WTNT21 KNHC 040237 TCMAT1 REMNANTS OF NANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162020 0300 UTC FRI SEP 04 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 92.0W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 92.0W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 91.4W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 92.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS ON NANA CAN BE FOUND IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC BASIN TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK. THIS PRODUCT CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATWOEP, WMO HEADER ABPZ20 KNHC, AND ON THE WEB AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/REFRESH/MIATWOEP+SHTML/ $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Remnants of Josephine Graphics
2020-08-16 22:35:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 20:35:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 16 Aug 2020 20:35:09 GMT
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remnants
josephine
Remnants of Josephine Forecast Discussion Number 21
2020-08-16 22:33:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sun Aug 16 2020 000 WTNT41 KNHC 162033 TCDAT1 Remnants Of Josephine Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020 500 PM AST Sun Aug 16 2020 The low-level swirl seen in visible satellite imagery has become less defined this afternoon, and ASCAT surface wind data that arrived shortly after the release of the previous advisory indicated that Josephine had degenerated into a trough of low pressure. As a result, this will be the final NHC advisory on this system. The ASCAT revealed a small area of 30-kt winds along the northeast side of the trough axis, and that will be the initial wind speed for this advisory. The remnants are forecast to continue encountering a hostile upper-level wind environment over the next couple of days and re-generation of the system is not expected during that time. The strong upper-level winds are forecast to decrease later in the week, but it appears that there will not be much left of the system to take advantage of those conditions. The remnants are moving west-northwestward at 10 kt, and should turn northwestward and northward over the next couple of days as a low- to mid-level trough moves near the southeastern U.S. coast. This is the last NHC advisory on this system. Future information can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/2100Z 20.9N 65.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
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