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Summary for Tropical Depression Four-E (EP4/EP042020)
2020-06-30 04:32:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS... ...EXPECTED TO BE A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL CYCLONE... As of 9:00 PM MDT Mon Jun 29 the center of Four-E was located near 20.5, -112.6 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Four-E Public Advisory Number 1
2020-06-30 04:32:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Mon Jun 29 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 300232 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020 900 PM MDT Mon Jun 29 2020 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS... ...EXPECTED TO BE A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL CYCLONE... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 112.6W ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E was located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 112.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected over the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected overnight. Weakening should begin on Tuesday, and the system is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low when it moves over cooler waters by Tuesday afternoon or evening. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-06-30 04:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 300231 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020 0300 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 112.6W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 112.6W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 112.5W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.1N 113.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.4N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 21.6N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 21.8N 113.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 112.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Graphics
2019-07-14 16:42:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 14 Jul 2019 14:42:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 14 Jul 2019 15:30:48 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Forecast Discussion Number 8
2019-07-14 16:37:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Jul 14 2019 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 141437 TCDEP4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042019 800 AM PDT Sun Jul 14 2019 Former Tropical Depression Four-E has been producing only small bursts of convection for the past 18 h or so. The system is moving over progressively cooler water and into a more stable air mass, so re-development of organized convection appears unlikely. Thus, the system is being downgraded to a remnant low pressure area. The global models indicate that the remnant low should dissipate by 36 h at the latest, and the NHC forecast follows this scenario. The motion is west-northwestward, or 285/11 kt. A low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone should cause a turn toward the west later today, with this general motion continuing until dissipation. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/1500Z 18.4N 115.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 15/0000Z 18.6N 117.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 15/1200Z 18.6N 119.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/0000Z 18.5N 121.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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