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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-23 19:41:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231741 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 23 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Marty, located more than 200 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of disturbed weather centered less than 200 miles south of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle to latter part of this week. The disturbance is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico through this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Marty are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Marty are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-23 13:35:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231135 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Aug 23 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Marty, located more than 200 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of disturbed weather located just south of the coast of southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico while the system moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Marty are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Marty are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-23 13:23:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 231123 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Aug 23 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The Weather Prediction Center is issuing Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Henri, located inland over southern New England. A broad low pressure system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropical Atlantic more than 700 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Little development is expected during the next couple of days due to only marginally conducive ocean temperatures. Thereafter, however, some gradual development is possible by the middle to latter part of the week while the system moves northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is expected to form a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea by late week. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast to become favorable for gradual development while the system moves west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center on Tropical Depression Henri can be found under AWIPS header TCPAT3, WMO header WTNT33 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-23 07:17:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 230517 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Aug 23 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Tropical Depression Henri, located inland over southern New England. Future advisories on Henri will be issued by the Weather Prediction Center. Disorganized shower activity over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated with a broad area of low pressure. Little, if any, development is expected to occur during the next couple of days. Some gradual development, however, is possible by the middle to latter part of the week as the system moves northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the western Caribbean Sea late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of this system thereafter while it moves west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center on Tropical Depression Henri can be found under AWIPS header TCPAT3, WMO header WTNT33 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-23 07:15:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 230515 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 22 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms association with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the circulation has become better defined since early today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development, and if these development trends continue, a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form later tonight or early Monday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. Additional information on this system can found in high seas forecasts issued by the NOAA National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of disturbed weather off the coast of southern Mexico is associated with some disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico while the system move west-northwestward or northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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